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Norway · 1. Division

26 Jul 2026 15:00 UTC

MOSS vs RAUFOSS

Final 1:2

Raufoss won Last goal: Raufoss

Match timeline

1st half

  1. Rafik Zekhnini — Raufoss
  2. Julian Laegreid — Moss

2nd half

  1. Rafik Zekhnini (penalty) — Raufoss

Model predictions were

Predictions are settled on the 90-minute result, including stoppage time but excluding extra time and penalties.

Solid call
62%
Both teams to score
Yes

Chance that both teams score

Result: Yes
On point
85%
Total 1.5
Over

Chance of 2 or more goals

Result: Over
Nice call
56%
Total 2.5
Over

Chance of 3 or more goals

Result: Over
No surprise
43%
Total 3.5
Over

Chance of 4 or more goals

Result: Under
On point
77%
Total 4.5
Under

Chance of 4 or fewer goals

Result: Under
As expected
5%
Score
1:3

Chance of this exact score

Result: 1:2

Model Context Was

Match prediction context

Probability in similar matches 33% (Weak)

How often the predicted 1X2 outcome matched the final result in past matches in this league when the model’s predicted score line had the same home-minus-away goal difference (-2; home goals minus away goals).

Based on 27 past matches with this goal margin in this league.

Draw likelihood 24% (Typical)

Historical draw rate in this league. Low / Typical / High is relative to usual draw frequencies, not model accuracy.

Based on 286 finished matches in this league.

League

Historical model performance in this league before this match date.

Based on 342 completed matches.

1X2 45% (Average)
Both teams to score 54% (Average)
Total 1.5 75% (Strong)
Total 2.5 54% (Average)
Total 3.5 54% (Average)
Total 4.5 67% (Strong)
Score 6% (Weak)

More stats

Teams

This shows how the model performed in matches with these teams.

Based on 85 past matches

1X2 40% (Weak)
Both teams to score 48% (Average)
Total 1.5 75% (Strong)
Total 2.5 49% (Average)
Total 3.5 48% (Average)
Total 4.5 64% (Good)
Score 4% (Risky)

Markets

This shows how often each type of prediction was correct in this league.

1X2 45% (Average)
272 predictions
Both teams to score 63% (Good)
204 predictions
Total 1.5 88% (Strong)
279 predictions
Total 2.5 66% (Strong)
207 predictions
Total 3.5 45% (Average)
131 predictions
Total 4.5 78% (Strong)
260 predictions

Match overview