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Norway · 1. Division

25 Jul 2026 16:00 UTC

STROEMSGODSET vs LYN

Final 1:1

Draw Last goal: Lyn

Match timeline

2nd half

  1. ⚽ Fredrik Ardraa — Stroemsgodset
  2. ⚽ Andreas Hellum — Lyn

Model predictions were

Predictions are settled on the 90-minute result, including stoppage time but excluding extra time and penalties.

Solid call
40%
1X2
Draw
90-minute result: Draw
Solid call
62%
Both teams to score
Yes

Chance that both teams score

Result: Yes
On point
85%
Total 1.5
Over

Chance of 2 or more goals

Result: Over
As expected
56%
Total 2.5
Over

Chance of 3 or more goals

Result: Under
No surprise
43%
Total 3.5
Over

Chance of 4 or more goals

Result: Under
On point
77%
Total 4.5
Under

Chance of 4 or fewer goals

Result: Under
As expected
5%
Score
2:2

Chance of this exact score

Result: 1:1

Model Context Was

Match prediction context

Probability in similar matches 26% (Weak)

How often the predicted 1X2 outcome matched the final result in past matches in this league when the model’s predicted score line had the same home-minus-away goal difference (0; home goals minus away goals).

Based on 69 past matches with this goal margin in this league.

Draw likelihood 24% (Typical)

Historical draw rate in this league. Low / Typical / High is relative to usual draw frequencies, not model accuracy.

Based on 284 finished matches in this league.

League

Historical model performance in this league before this match date.

Based on 340 completed matches.

1X2 26% (Weak)
Both teams to score 54% (Average)
Total 1.5 75% (Strong)
Total 2.5 54% (Average)
Total 3.5 54% (Average)
Total 4.5 67% (Strong)
Score 6% (Weak)

More stats

Teams

This shows how the model performed in matches with these teams.

Based on 55 past matches

1X2 29% (Weak)
Both teams to score 55% (Average)
Total 1.5 80% (Strong)
Total 2.5 51% (Average)
Total 3.5 58% (Good)
Total 4.5 73% (Strong)
Score 4% (Risky)

Markets

This shows how often each type of prediction was correct in this league.

1X2 26% (Weak)
69 predictions
Both teams to score 63% (Good)
202 predictions
Total 1.5 88% (Strong)
277 predictions
Total 2.5 66% (Strong)
205 predictions
Total 3.5 45% (Average)
130 predictions
Total 4.5 78% (Strong)
258 predictions

Match overview