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Czech Republic · Gambrinus League · 1. Liga

26 Jul 2026 15:30 UTC

JABLONEC vs SIGMA OLOMOUC

Final 2:1

Jablonec won Last goal: Jablonec

Match timeline

1st half

  1. ⚽ Louis Lurvink — Sigma Olomouc

2nd half

  1. ⚽ Martin Cedidla — Jablonec
  2. ⚽ Jan Suchan — Jablonec

Model predictions were

Predictions are settled on the 90-minute result, including stoppage time but excluding extra time and penalties.

As expected
39%
1X2
Sigma Olomouc
90-minute result: Jablonec
As expected
48%
Both teams to score
No

Chance at least one team fails to score

Result: Yes
Solid call
74%
Total 1.5
Over

Chance of 2 or more goals

Result: Over
As expected
48%
Total 2.5
Under

Chance of 2 or fewer goals

Result: Over
Solid call
71%
Total 3.5
Under

Chance of 3 or fewer goals

Result: Under
On point
86%
Total 4.5
Under

Chance of 4 or fewer goals

Result: Under
As expected
5%
Score
0:2

Chance of this exact score

Result: 2:1

Model Context Was

Match prediction context

Probability in similar matches 38% (Weak)

How often the predicted 1X2 outcome matched the final result in past matches in this league when the model’s predicted score line had the same home-minus-away goal difference (-2; home goals minus away goals).

Based on 29 past matches with this goal margin in this league.

Draw likelihood 23% (Typical)

Historical draw rate in this league. Low / Typical / High is relative to usual draw frequencies, not model accuracy.

Based on 277 finished matches in this league.

League

Historical model performance in this league before this match date.

Based on 333 completed matches.

1X2 46% (Average)
Both teams to score 47% (Average)
Total 1.5 62% (Good)
Total 2.5 49% (Average)
Total 3.5 64% (Good)
Total 4.5 82% (Strong)
Score 6% (Weak)

More stats

Teams

This shows how the model performed in matches with these teams.

Based on 80 past matches

1X2 40% (Weak)
Both teams to score 48% (Average)
Total 1.5 61% (Good)
Total 2.5 48% (Average)
Total 3.5 64% (Good)
Total 4.5 81% (Strong)
Score 5% (Weak)

Markets

This shows how often each type of prediction was correct in this league.

1X2 46% (Average)
249 predictions
Both teams to score 49% (Average)
160 predictions
Total 1.5 75% (Strong)
249 predictions
Total 2.5 49% (Average)
188 predictions
Total 3.5 72% (Strong)
273 predictions
Total 4.5 87% (Strong)
312 predictions

Match overview