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Czech Republic · Gambrinus League · 1. Liga

25 Jul 2026 18:00 UTC

FC ZBROJOVKA BRNO vs SPARTA PRAGUE

Final 3:1

FC Zbrojovka Brno won Last goal: FC Zbrojovka Brno

Match timeline

1st half

  1. ⚽ Daniel Vasulín — FC Zbrojovka Brno

2nd half

  1. ⚽ John Mercado — Sparta Prague
  2. ⚽ Tadeas Vachousek — FC Zbrojovka Brno
  3. ⚽ Lucky Ezeh — FC Zbrojovka Brno

Model predictions were

Predictions are settled on the 90-minute result, including stoppage time but excluding extra time and penalties.

Nice call
39%
1X2
FC Zbrojovka Brno
90-minute result: FC Zbrojovka Brno
As expected
48%
Both teams to score
No

Chance at least one team fails to score

Result: Yes
Solid call
74%
Total 1.5
Over

Chance of 2 or more goals

Result: Over
As expected
48%
Total 2.5
Under

Chance of 2 or fewer goals

Result: Over
Off target
71%
Total 3.5
Under

Chance of 3 or fewer goals

Result: Over
On point
86%
Total 4.5
Under

Chance of 4 or fewer goals

Result: Under
As expected
5%
Score
2:0

Chance of this exact score

Result: 3:1

Model Context Was

Match prediction context

Probability in similar matches 37% (Weak)

How often the predicted 1X2 outcome matched the final result in past matches in this league when the model’s predicted score line had the same home-minus-away goal difference (+2; home goals minus away goals).

Based on 49 past matches with this goal margin in this league.

Draw likelihood 23% (Typical)

Historical draw rate in this league. Low / Typical / High is relative to usual draw frequencies, not model accuracy.

Based on 273 finished matches in this league.

League

Historical model performance in this league before this match date.

Based on 329 completed matches.

1X2 46% (Average)
Both teams to score 47% (Average)
Total 1.5 62% (Good)
Total 2.5 49% (Average)
Total 3.5 64% (Good)
Total 4.5 82% (Strong)
Score 6% (Weak)

More stats

Teams

This shows how the model performed in matches with these teams.

Based on 41 past matches

1X2 46% (Average)
Both teams to score 56% (Good)
Total 1.5 71% (Strong)
Total 2.5 51% (Average)
Total 3.5 61% (Good)
Total 4.5 76% (Strong)
Score 5% (Risky)

Markets

This shows how often each type of prediction was correct in this league.

1X2 46% (Average)
245 predictions
Both teams to score 49% (Average)
159 predictions
Total 1.5 75% (Strong)
245 predictions
Total 2.5 49% (Average)
187 predictions
Total 3.5 73% (Strong)
269 predictions
Total 4.5 87% (Strong)
308 predictions

Match overview