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Denmark · Superliga · Superleague

26 Jul 2026 16:00 UTC

AC HORSENS vs FC NORDSJAELLAND

Final 1:1

Draw Last goal: AC Horsens

Match timeline

1st half

  1. ⚽ Nicklas Rojkjaer — FC Nordsjaelland
  2. ⚽ Adrian Justinussen (penalty) — AC Horsens

Model predictions were

Predictions are settled on the 90-minute result, including stoppage time but excluding extra time and penalties.

Big miss
51%
1X2
AC Horsens
90-minute result: Draw
Nice call
57%
Both teams to score
Yes

Chance that both teams score

Result: Yes
On point
80%
Total 1.5
Over

Chance of 2 or more goals

Result: Over
As expected
55%
Total 2.5
Over

Chance of 3 or more goals

Result: Under
No surprise
31%
Total 3.5
Over

Chance of 4 or more goals

Result: Under
Solid call
75%
Total 4.5
Under

Chance of 4 or fewer goals

Result: Under
As expected
5%
Score
3:1

Chance of this exact score

Result: 1:1

Model Context Was

Match prediction context

Probability in similar matches 56% (Good)

How often the predicted 1X2 outcome matched the final result in past matches in this league when the model’s predicted score line had the same home-minus-away goal difference (+2; home goals minus away goals).

Based on 27 past matches with this goal margin in this league.

Draw likelihood 24% (Typical)

Historical draw rate in this league. Low / Typical / High is relative to usual draw frequencies, not model accuracy.

Based on 192 finished matches in this league.

League

Historical model performance in this league before this match date.

Based on 241 completed matches.

1X2 50% (Average)
Both teams to score 54% (Average)
Total 1.5 69% (Strong)
Total 2.5 50% (Average)
Total 3.5 47% (Average)
Total 4.5 66% (Strong)
Score 5% (Weak)

More stats

Teams

This shows how the model performed in matches with these teams.

Based on 40 past matches

1X2 43% (Weak)
Both teams to score 43% (Weak)
Total 1.5 60% (Good)
Total 2.5 50% (Average)
Total 3.5 43% (Weak)
Total 4.5 63% (Good)
Score 3% (Risky)

Markets

This shows how often each type of prediction was correct in this league.

1X2 50% (Average)
181 predictions
Both teams to score 61% (Good)
158 predictions
Total 1.5 81% (Strong)
197 predictions
Total 2.5 59% (Good)
146 predictions
Total 3.5 31% (Weak)
94 predictions
Total 4.5 75% (Strong)
199 predictions

Match overview