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Denmark · Superliga · Superligaen ECL Playoff

21 May 2026 16:30 UTC

BRONDBY IF vs FC COPENHAGEN

Final 1:3

FC Copenhagen advanced Last goal: FC Copenhagen

Match timeline

2nd half

  1. 🟥 Mayckel Lahdo (straight red) — Brondby IF
  2. ⚽ Aurélio Buta — FC Copenhagen
  3. ⚽ Mads Froekjaer-Jensen — Brondby IF

Extra time

  1. ⚽ Youssoufa Moukoko — FC Copenhagen
  2. ⚽ Youssoufa Moukoko — FC Copenhagen

Model predictions were

Predictions are settled on the 90-minute result, including stoppage time but excluding extra time and penalties.

Big miss
Underdog
51%
1X2
Brondby IF
90-minute result: Draw
Advanced: FC Copenhagen
Solid call
62%
Both teams to score
Yes

Chance that both teams score

Result: Yes
On point
80%
Total 1.5
Over

Chance of 2 or more goals

Result: Over
As expected
56%
Total 2.5
Over

Chance of 3 or more goals

Result: Under
No surprise
31%
Total 3.5
Over

Chance of 4 or more goals

Result: Under
On point
77%
Total 4.5
Under

Chance of 4 or fewer goals

Result: Under
As expected
10%
Score
3:1

Chance of this exact score

Result: 1:1 (90 min)

Model Context Was

Match prediction context

Probability in similar matches 58% (Good)

How often the predicted 1X2 outcome matched the final result in past matches in this league when the model’s predicted score line had the same home-minus-away goal difference (+2; home goals minus away goals).

Based on 26 past matches with this goal margin in this league.

Draw likelihood 24% (Typical)

Historical draw rate in this league. Low / Typical / High is relative to usual draw frequencies, not model accuracy.

Based on 189 finished matches in this league.

League

Historical model performance in this league before this match date.

Based on 189 completed matches.

1X2 50% (Average)
Both teams to score 57% (Good)
Total 1.5 71% (Strong)
Total 2.5 53% (Average)
Total 3.5 51% (Average)
Total 4.5 67% (Strong)
Score 6% (Weak)

More stats

Teams

This shows how the model performed in matches with these teams.

Based on 60 past matches

1X2 42% (Weak)
Both teams to score 63% (Good)
Total 1.5 82% (Strong)
Total 2.5 57% (Good)
Total 3.5 53% (Average)
Total 4.5 62% (Good)
Score 10% (Weak)

Markets

This shows how often each type of prediction was correct in this league.

1X2 50% (Average)
143 predictions
Both teams to score 61% (Good)
131 predictions
Total 1.5 81% (Strong)
162 predictions
Total 2.5 61% (Good)
119 predictions
Total 3.5 32% (Weak)
76 predictions
Total 4.5 77% (Strong)
155 predictions

Match overview