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China · Super League

26 Jul 2026 11:35 UTC

CHENGDU RONGCHENG FC vs BEIJING GUOAN

Final 2:2

Draw Last goal: Chengdu Rongcheng FC

Match timeline

2nd half

  1. ⚽ Zhang Yuning — Beijing Guoan
  2. ⚽ Zhang Yuning — Beijing Guoan
  3. ⚽ Felipe — Chengdu Rongcheng FC
  4. ⚽ Egor Sorokin — Chengdu Rongcheng FC

Model predictions were

Predictions are settled on the 90-minute result, including stoppage time but excluding extra time and penalties.

Off target
45%
1X2
Chengdu Rongcheng FC
90-minute result: Draw
Solid call
62%
Both teams to score
Yes

Chance that both teams score

Result: Yes
On point
80%
Total 1.5
Over

Chance of 2 or more goals

Result: Over
Nice call
55%
Total 2.5
Over

Chance of 3 or more goals

Result: Over
Lucky hit
43%
Total 3.5
Over

Chance of 4 or more goals

Result: Over
No surprise
25%
Total 4.5
Over

Chance of 5 or more goals

Result: Under
As expected
10%
Score
3:2

Chance of this exact score

Result: 2:2

Model Context Was

Match prediction context

Probability in similar matches 51% (Average)

How often the predicted 1X2 outcome matched the final result in past matches in this league when the model’s predicted score line had the same home-minus-away goal difference (+1; home goals minus away goals).

Based on 85 past matches with this goal margin in this league.

Draw likelihood 26% (Typical)

Historical draw rate in this league. Low / Typical / High is relative to usual draw frequencies, not model accuracy.

Based on 296 finished matches in this league.

League

Historical model performance in this league before this match date.

Based on 350 completed matches.

1X2 46% (Average)
Both teams to score 54% (Average)
Total 1.5 68% (Strong)
Total 2.5 48% (Average)
Total 3.5 58% (Good)
Total 4.5 71% (Strong)
Score 7% (Weak)

More stats

Teams

This shows how the model performed in matches with these teams.

Based on 84 past matches

1X2 42% (Weak)
Both teams to score 56% (Good)
Total 1.5 70% (Strong)
Total 2.5 44% (Weak)
Total 3.5 61% (Good)
Total 4.5 69% (Strong)
Score 10% (Weak)

Markets

This shows how often each type of prediction was correct in this league.

1X2 46% (Average)
264 predictions
Both teams to score 64% (Good)
206 predictions
Total 1.5 81% (Strong)
281 predictions
Total 2.5 60% (Good)
176 predictions
Total 3.5 48% (Average)
98 predictions
Total 4.5 23% (Weak)
52 predictions

Match overview