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China · Super League

26 Jul 2026 11:00 UTC

YUNNAN YUKUN vs SHENZHEN PENG CITY

Final 4:3

Yunnan Yukun won Last goal: Yunnan Yukun

Match timeline

1st half

  1. ⚽ Tim Chow — Shenzhen Peng City
  2. ⚽ Caio Vinícius — Yunnan Yukun
  3. ⚽ Oscar Maritu — Yunnan Yukun

2nd half

  1. ⚽ Bunyamin Abdusalam — Yunnan Yukun
  2. ⚽ Caio Vinícius — Yunnan Yukun
  3. ⚽ John Hou Sæter (own goal) — Shenzhen Peng City
  4. ⚽ Wesley (penalty) — Shenzhen Peng City

Model predictions were

Predictions are settled on the 90-minute result, including stoppage time but excluding extra time and penalties.

On point
51%
1X2
Yunnan Yukun
90-minute result: Yunnan Yukun
Solid call
62%
Both teams to score
Yes

Chance that both teams score

Result: Yes
On point
80%
Total 1.5
Over

Chance of 2 or more goals

Result: Over
Nice call
55%
Total 2.5
Over

Chance of 3 or more goals

Result: Over
Lucky hit
43%
Total 3.5
Over

Chance of 4 or more goals

Result: Over
Big miss
77%
Total 4.5
Under

Chance of 4 or fewer goals

Result: Over
As expected
6%
Score
3:1

Chance of this exact score

Result: 4:3

Model Context Was

Match prediction context

Probability in similar matches 57% (Good)

How often the predicted 1X2 outcome matched the final result in past matches in this league when the model’s predicted score line had the same home-minus-away goal difference (+2; home goals minus away goals).

Based on 53 past matches with this goal margin in this league.

Draw likelihood 26% (Typical)

Historical draw rate in this league. Low / Typical / High is relative to usual draw frequencies, not model accuracy.

Based on 296 finished matches in this league.

League

Historical model performance in this league before this match date.

Based on 350 completed matches.

1X2 46% (Average)
Both teams to score 54% (Average)
Total 1.5 68% (Strong)
Total 2.5 48% (Average)
Total 3.5 58% (Good)
Total 4.5 71% (Strong)
Score 7% (Weak)

More stats

Teams

This shows how the model performed in matches with these teams.

Based on 87 past matches

1X2 37% (Weak)
Both teams to score 56% (Good)
Total 1.5 69% (Strong)
Total 2.5 51% (Average)
Total 3.5 62% (Good)
Total 4.5 67% (Strong)
Score 6% (Weak)

Markets

This shows how often each type of prediction was correct in this league.

1X2 46% (Average)
264 predictions
Both teams to score 64% (Good)
206 predictions
Total 1.5 81% (Strong)
281 predictions
Total 2.5 60% (Good)
176 predictions
Total 3.5 48% (Average)
98 predictions
Total 4.5 80% (Strong)
298 predictions

Match overview