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Sweden · Superettan

26 Jul 2026 15:00 UTC

NORRBY vs OESTERSUNDS FK

Final 2:2

Draw Last goal: Norrby

Match timeline

1st half

  1. Azeez Temitope Yusuf — Norrby

2nd half

  1. Mario Palomino — Oestersunds FK
  2. Mario Palomino — Oestersunds FK
  3. Ibrahim Adewale — Norrby

Model predictions were

Predictions are settled on the 90-minute result, including stoppage time but excluding extra time and penalties.

As expected
48%
Both teams to score
No

Chance at least one team fails to score

Result: Yes
No surprise
30%
Total 1.5
Under

Chance of 1 or fewer goals

Result: Over
No surprise
45%
Total 2.5
Under

Chance of 2 or fewer goals

Result: Over
Off target
65%
Total 3.5
Under

Chance of 3 or fewer goals

Result: Over
On point
81%
Total 4.5
Under

Chance of 4 or fewer goals

Result: Under
As expected
9%
Score
0:0

Chance of this exact score

Result: 2:2

Model Context Was

Match prediction context

Probability in similar matches 26% (Weak)

How often the predicted 1X2 outcome matched the final result in past matches in this league when the model’s predicted score line had the same home-minus-away goal difference (0; home goals minus away goals).

Based on 73 past matches with this goal margin in this league.

Draw likelihood 25% (Typical)

Historical draw rate in this league. Low / Typical / High is relative to usual draw frequencies, not model accuracy.

Based on 277 finished matches in this league.

League

Historical model performance in this league before this match date.

Based on 346 completed matches.

1X2 26% (Weak)
Both teams to score 53% (Average)
Total 1.5 69% (Strong)
Total 2.5 51% (Average)
Total 3.5 59% (Good)
Total 4.5 74% (Strong)
Score 7% (Weak)

More stats

Teams

This shows how the model performed in matches with these teams.

Based on 57 past matches

1X2 39% (Weak)
Both teams to score 44% (Weak)
Total 1.5 74% (Strong)
Total 2.5 46% (Average)
Total 3.5 60% (Good)
Total 4.5 81% (Strong)
Score 9% (Weak)

Markets

This shows how often each type of prediction was correct in this league.

1X2 26% (Weak)
73 predictions
Both teams to score 46% (Average)
147 predictions
Total 1.5 29% (Weak)
77 predictions
Total 2.5 44% (Weak)
148 predictions
Total 3.5 65% (Strong)
243 predictions
Total 4.5 83% (Strong)
295 predictions

Match overview