← Back to matches

China · China League

26 Jul 2026 11:30 UTC

GUANGXI HENGCHEN vs DINGNAN UNITED

Final 4:4

Draw Last goal: Dingnan United

Match timeline

1st half

  1. ⚽ Noel Mbo — Guangxi Hengchen
  2. ⚽ Yucheng Hao — Dingnan United
  3. ⚽ Noel Mbo — Guangxi Hengchen

2nd half

  1. ⚽ Zhang Zimin — Dingnan United
  2. ⚽ Marcel Petrov — Dingnan United
  3. ⚽ Dongtao Chen — Guangxi Hengchen
  4. ⚽ Dongtao Chen — Guangxi Hengchen
  5. ⚽ Zhu Jiaxuan — Dingnan United

Model predictions were

Predictions are settled on the 90-minute result, including stoppage time but excluding extra time and penalties.

Off target
45%
1X2
Guangxi Hengchen
90-minute result: Draw
Nice call
54%
Both teams to score
Yes

Chance that both teams score

Result: Yes
Solid call
74%
Total 1.5
Over

Chance of 2 or more goals

Result: Over
Nice call
48%
Total 2.5
Over

Chance of 3 or more goals

Result: Over
Lucky hit
28%
Total 3.5
Over

Chance of 4 or more goals

Result: Over
Big miss
86%
Total 4.5
Under

Chance of 4 or fewer goals

Result: Over
Off target
14%
Score
3:1

Chance of this exact score

Result: 4:4

Model Context Was

Match prediction context

Probability in similar matches 43% (Weak)

How often the predicted 1X2 outcome matched the final result in past matches in this league when the model’s predicted score line had the same home-minus-away goal difference (+2; home goals minus away goals).

Based on 42 past matches with this goal margin in this league.

Draw likelihood 26% (Typical)

Historical draw rate in this league. Low / Typical / High is relative to usual draw frequencies, not model accuracy.

Based on 284 finished matches in this league.

League

Historical model performance in this league before this match date.

Based on 337 completed matches.

1X2 44% (Weak)
Both teams to score 49% (Average)
Total 1.5 63% (Good)
Total 2.5 50% (Average)
Total 3.5 62% (Good)
Total 4.5 83% (Strong)
Score 9% (Weak)

More stats

Teams

This shows how the model performed in matches with these teams.

Based on 56 past matches

1X2 38% (Weak)
Both teams to score 46% (Average)
Total 1.5 68% (Strong)
Total 2.5 57% (Good)
Total 3.5 73% (Strong)
Total 4.5 82% (Strong)
Score 14% (Good)

Markets

This shows how often each type of prediction was correct in this league.

1X2 44% (Weak)
231 predictions
Both teams to score 51% (Average)
182 predictions
Total 1.5 74% (Strong)
243 predictions
Total 2.5 47% (Average)
143 predictions
Total 3.5 21% (Weak)
66 predictions
Total 4.5 89% (Strong)
314 predictions

Match overview