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China · China League

25 Jul 2026 11:00 UTC

CHANGCHUN YATAI vs NANJING CITY FC

Final 2:1 Almanac Moment

Changchun Yatai won Last goal: Nanjing City FC

Match timeline

1st half

  1. ⚽ Juan Salazar — Changchun Yatai
  2. ⚽ Ohi Omoijuanfo — Changchun Yatai

2nd half

  1. ⚽ Weli Qurban — Nanjing City FC

Model predictions were

Predictions are settled on the 90-minute result, including stoppage time but excluding extra time and penalties.

Solid call
45%
1X2
Changchun Yatai
90-minute result: Changchun Yatai
Nice call
54%
Both teams to score
Yes

Chance that both teams score

Result: Yes
Solid call
74%
Total 1.5
Over

Chance of 2 or more goals

Result: Over
Nice call
48%
Total 2.5
Over

Chance of 3 or more goals

Result: Over
Solid call
71%
Total 3.5
Under

Chance of 3 or fewer goals

Result: Under
On point
86%
Total 4.5
Under

Chance of 4 or fewer goals

Result: Under
Nice call
9%
Score
2:1

Chance of this exact score

Result: 2:1

Model Context Was

Match prediction context

Probability in similar matches 49% (Average)

How often the predicted 1X2 outcome matched the final result in past matches in this league when the model’s predicted score line had the same home-minus-away goal difference (+1; home goals minus away goals).

Based on 81 past matches with this goal margin in this league.

Draw likelihood 27% (Typical)

Historical draw rate in this league. Low / Typical / High is relative to usual draw frequencies, not model accuracy.

Based on 279 finished matches in this league.

League

Historical model performance in this league before this match date.

Based on 337 completed matches.

1X2 44% (Weak)
Both teams to score 49% (Average)
Total 1.5 63% (Good)
Total 2.5 50% (Average)
Total 3.5 62% (Good)
Total 4.5 83% (Strong)
Score 9% (Weak)

More stats

Teams

This shows how the model performed in matches with these teams.

Based on 55 past matches

1X2 42% (Weak)
Both teams to score 53% (Average)
Total 1.5 69% (Strong)
Total 2.5 53% (Average)
Total 3.5 60% (Good)
Total 4.5 84% (Strong)
Score 9% (Weak)

Markets

This shows how often each type of prediction was correct in this league.

1X2 44% (Weak)
231 predictions
Both teams to score 51% (Average)
182 predictions
Total 1.5 74% (Strong)
243 predictions
Total 2.5 47% (Average)
143 predictions
Total 3.5 72% (Strong)
271 predictions
Total 4.5 89% (Strong)
314 predictions

Match overview