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Argentina · Primera B Nacional · Primera Nacional

26 Jul 2026 18:26 UTC

DEPORTIVO MORON vs FERRO CARRIL OESTE

Final 4:0

Deportivo Moron won Last goal: Deportivo Moron

Match timeline

1st half

  1. ⚽ Leandro Pena Biafore (own goal) — Deportivo Moron
  2. ⚽ Mateo Levato — Deportivo Moron

2nd half

  1. ⚽ Juan Esquivel — Deportivo Moron
  2. 🟥 Gustavo Canto (straight red) — Ferro Carril Oeste
  3. 🟥 Gonzalo Castellani (straight red) — Ferro Carril Oeste
  4. ⚽ Franco Toloza — Deportivo Moron

Model predictions were

Predictions are settled on the 90-minute result, including stoppage time but excluding extra time and penalties.

As expected
37%
1X2
Draw
90-minute result: Deportivo Moron
Solid call
62%
Both teams to score
No

Chance at least one team fails to score

Result: No
No surprise
32%
Total 1.5
Under

Chance of 1 or fewer goals

Result: Over
Off target
65%
Total 2.5
Under

Chance of 2 or fewer goals

Result: Over
Big miss
83%
Total 3.5
Under

Chance of 3 or fewer goals

Result: Over
On point
92%
Total 4.5
Under

Chance of 4 or fewer goals

Result: Under
As expected
12%
Score
0:0

Chance of this exact score

Result: 4:0

Model Context Was

Match prediction context

Probability in similar matches 34% (Weak)

How often the predicted 1X2 outcome matched the final result in past matches in this league when the model’s predicted score line had the same home-minus-away goal difference (0; home goals minus away goals).

Based on 293 past matches with this goal margin in this league.

Draw likelihood 34% (High)

Historical draw rate in this league. Low / Typical / High is relative to usual draw frequencies, not model accuracy.

Based on 670 finished matches in this league.

League

Historical model performance in this league before this match date.

Based on 813 completed matches.

1X2 34% (Weak)
Both teams to score 54% (Average)
Total 1.5 47% (Average)
Total 2.5 61% (Good)
Total 3.5 84% (Strong)
Total 4.5 95% (Strong)
Score 11% (Weak)

More stats

Teams

This shows how the model performed in matches with these teams.

Based on 94 past matches

1X2 31% (Weak)
Both teams to score 56% (Good)
Total 1.5 46% (Average)
Total 2.5 57% (Good)
Total 3.5 83% (Strong)
Total 4.5 97% (Strong)
Score 12% (Weak)

Markets

This shows how often each type of prediction was correct in this league.

1X2 34% (Weak)
307 predictions
Both teams to score 62% (Good)
559 predictions
Total 1.5 40% (Weak)
417 predictions
Total 2.5 70% (Strong)
636 predictions
Total 3.5 89% (Strong)
750 predictions
Total 4.5 97% (Strong)
793 predictions

Match overview