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Macedonia · Prva Liga

26 Jul 2026 17:00 UTC

KF SHKENDIJA vs FK SKOPJE

Final 3:0

KF Shkendija won Last goal: KF Shkendija

Match timeline

1st half

  1. Fahd Ndzengue — KF Shkendija

2nd half

  1. Kristijan Naumovski (own goal) — KF Shkendija
  2. Rafael Freitas — KF Shkendija

Model predictions were

Predictions are settled on the 90-minute result, including stoppage time but excluding extra time and penalties.

As expected
54%
Both teams to score
Yes

Chance that both teams score

Result: No
On point
78%
Total 1.5
Over

Chance of 2 or more goals

Result: Over
Nice call
55%
Total 2.5
Over

Chance of 3 or more goals

Result: Over
Solid call
65%
Total 3.5
Under

Chance of 3 or fewer goals

Result: Under
On point
77%
Total 4.5
Under

Chance of 4 or fewer goals

Result: Under
As expected
10%
Score
2:1

Chance of this exact score

Result: 3:0

Model Context Was

Match prediction context

Probability in similar matches 47% (Average)

How often the predicted 1X2 outcome matched the final result in past matches in this league when the model’s predicted score line had the same home-minus-away goal difference (+1; home goals minus away goals).

Based on 64 past matches with this goal margin in this league.

Draw likelihood 19% (Typical)

Historical draw rate in this league. Low / Typical / High is relative to usual draw frequencies, not model accuracy.

Based on 187 finished matches in this league.

League

Historical model performance in this league before this match date.

Based on 240 completed matches.

1X2 46% (Average)
Both teams to score 54% (Average)
Total 1.5 63% (Good)
Total 2.5 50% (Average)
Total 3.5 58% (Good)
Total 4.5 71% (Strong)
Score 7% (Weak)

More stats

Teams

This shows how the model performed in matches with these teams.

Based on 40 past matches

1X2 48% (Average)
Both teams to score 40% (Weak)
Total 1.5 55% (Good)
Total 2.5 45% (Average)
Total 3.5 53% (Average)
Total 4.5 73% (Strong)
Score 10% (Weak)

Markets

This shows how often each type of prediction was correct in this league.

1X2 46% (Average)
182 predictions
Both teams to score 50% (Average)
125 predictions
Total 1.5 79% (Strong)
168 predictions
Total 2.5 59% (Good)
115 predictions
Total 3.5 65% (Good)
186 predictions
Total 4.5 77% (Strong)
213 predictions

Match overview