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Macedonia · Prva Liga

24 Jul 2026 15:00 UTC

GFK TIKVES KAVADARCI vs ARSIMI

Final 5:1

GFK Tikves Kavadarci won Last goal: GFK Tikves Kavadarci

Match timeline

1st half

  1. Toheeb Lawal — GFK Tikves Kavadarci
  2. N'fanly Sylla — GFK Tikves Kavadarci
  3. Aljbin Ramadani — Arsimi
  4. Toheeb Lawal — GFK Tikves Kavadarci
  5. N'fanly Sylla — GFK Tikves Kavadarci

2nd half

  1. N'fanly Sylla — GFK Tikves Kavadarci

Model predictions were

Predictions are settled on the 90-minute result, including stoppage time but excluding extra time and penalties.

Nice call
54%
Both teams to score
Yes

Chance that both teams score

Result: Yes
On point
78%
Total 1.5
Over

Chance of 2 or more goals

Result: Over
Nice call
55%
Total 2.5
Over

Chance of 3 or more goals

Result: Over
Off target
65%
Total 3.5
Under

Chance of 3 or fewer goals

Result: Over
Big miss
77%
Total 4.5
Under

Chance of 4 or fewer goals

Result: Over
As expected
7%
Score
1:2

Chance of this exact score

Result: 5:1

Model Context Was

Match prediction context

Probability in similar matches 56% (Good)

How often the predicted 1X2 outcome matched the final result in past matches in this league when the model’s predicted score line had the same home-minus-away goal difference (-1; home goals minus away goals).

Based on 45 past matches with this goal margin in this league.

Draw likelihood 19% (Typical)

Historical draw rate in this league. Low / Typical / High is relative to usual draw frequencies, not model accuracy.

Based on 184 finished matches in this league.

League

Historical model performance in this league before this match date.

Based on 237 completed matches.

1X2 47% (Average)
Both teams to score 53% (Average)
Total 1.5 63% (Good)
Total 2.5 50% (Average)
Total 3.5 57% (Good)
Total 4.5 71% (Strong)
Score 7% (Weak)

More stats

Teams

This shows how the model performed in matches with these teams.

Based on 68 past matches

1X2 40% (Weak)
Both teams to score 54% (Average)
Total 1.5 63% (Good)
Total 2.5 50% (Average)
Total 3.5 56% (Good)
Total 4.5 71% (Strong)
Score 7% (Weak)

Markets

This shows how often each type of prediction was correct in this league.

1X2 47% (Average)
179 predictions
Both teams to score 50% (Average)
124 predictions
Total 1.5 78% (Strong)
167 predictions
Total 2.5 59% (Good)
114 predictions
Total 3.5 64% (Good)
183 predictions
Total 4.5 77% (Strong)
210 predictions

Match overview