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Bolivia · Liga de Fútbol Profesional · Apertura

26 Jul 2026 21:15 UTC

BOLIVAR vs REAL POTOSI

Final 2:1 Almanac Moment

Bolivar won Last goal: Bolivar

Match timeline

1st half

  1. Dorny Romero (penalty) — Bolivar
  2. Luis Alí — Real Potosi

2nd half

  1. Dairon Asprilla — Bolivar

Model predictions were

Predictions are settled on the 90-minute result, including stoppage time but excluding extra time and penalties.

Nice call
57%
Both teams to score
Yes

Chance that both teams score

Result: Yes
On point
85%
Total 1.5
Over

Chance of 2 or more goals

Result: Over
Solid call
65%
Total 2.5
Over

Chance of 3 or more goals

Result: Over
Nice call
58%
Total 3.5
Under

Chance of 3 or fewer goals

Result: Under
Solid call
75%
Total 4.5
Under

Chance of 4 or fewer goals

Result: Under
Nice call
7%
Score
2:1

Chance of this exact score

Result: 2:1

Model Context Was

Match prediction context

Probability in similar matches 58% (Good)

How often the predicted 1X2 outcome matched the final result in past matches in this league when the model’s predicted score line had the same home-minus-away goal difference (+1; home goals minus away goals).

Based on 65 past matches with this goal margin in this league.

Draw likelihood 20% (Typical)

Historical draw rate in this league. Low / Typical / High is relative to usual draw frequencies, not model accuracy.

Based on 242 finished matches in this league.

League

Historical model performance in this league before this match date.

Based on 297 completed matches.

1X2 50% (Average)
Both teams to score 46% (Average)
Total 1.5 67% (Strong)
Total 2.5 53% (Average)
Total 3.5 54% (Average)
Total 4.5 69% (Strong)
Score 6% (Weak)

More stats

Teams

This shows how the model performed in matches with these teams.

Based on 44 past matches

1X2 45% (Average)
Both teams to score 41% (Weak)
Total 1.5 73% (Strong)
Total 2.5 57% (Good)
Total 3.5 55% (Average)
Total 4.5 68% (Strong)
Score 7% (Weak)

Markets

This shows how often each type of prediction was correct in this league.

1X2 50% (Average)
215 predictions
Both teams to score 62% (Good)
158 predictions
Total 1.5 86% (Strong)
218 predictions
Total 2.5 70% (Strong)
146 predictions
Total 3.5 57% (Good)
213 predictions
Total 4.5 74% (Strong)
258 predictions

Match overview