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Bolivia · Liga de Fútbol Profesional · Apertura

26 Jul 2026 23:30 UTC

NACIONAL POTOSI vs REAL TOMAYAPO

Final 4:1

Nacional Potosi won Last goal: Nacional Potosi

Match timeline

1st half

  1. ⚽ Tommy Tobar Reyes — Nacional Potosi
  2. ⚽ Ramiro Eguez — Real Tomayapo
  3. ⚽ Kevin Bailaba — Nacional Potosi
  4. ⚽ Tommy Tobar Reyes — Nacional Potosi

2nd half

  1. ⚽ Carlos Abastoflor — Nacional Potosi

Model predictions were

Predictions are settled on the 90-minute result, including stoppage time but excluding extra time and penalties.

Off target
40%
1X2
Draw
90-minute result: Nacional Potosi
Nice call
57%
Both teams to score
Yes

Chance that both teams score

Result: Yes
On point
85%
Total 1.5
Over

Chance of 2 or more goals

Result: Over
No surprise
37%
Total 2.5
Under

Chance of 2 or fewer goals

Result: Over
As expected
58%
Total 3.5
Under

Chance of 3 or fewer goals

Result: Over
Off target
75%
Total 4.5
Under

Chance of 4 or fewer goals

Result: Over
As expected
6%
Score
1:1

Chance of this exact score

Result: 4:1

Model Context Was

Match prediction context

Probability in similar matches 26% (Weak)

How often the predicted 1X2 outcome matched the final result in past matches in this league when the model’s predicted score line had the same home-minus-away goal difference (0; home goals minus away goals).

Based on 76 past matches with this goal margin in this league.

Draw likelihood 20% (Typical)

Historical draw rate in this league. Low / Typical / High is relative to usual draw frequencies, not model accuracy.

Based on 242 finished matches in this league.

League

Historical model performance in this league before this match date.

Based on 296 completed matches.

1X2 32% (Weak)
Both teams to score 46% (Average)
Total 1.5 67% (Strong)
Total 2.5 53% (Average)
Total 3.5 54% (Average)
Total 4.5 69% (Strong)
Score 6% (Weak)

More stats

Teams

This shows how the model performed in matches with these teams.

Based on 71 past matches

1X2 49% (Average)
Both teams to score 48% (Average)
Total 1.5 63% (Good)
Total 2.5 55% (Average)
Total 3.5 61% (Good)
Total 4.5 69% (Strong)
Score 6% (Weak)

Markets

This shows how often each type of prediction was correct in this league.

1X2 32% (Weak)
82 predictions
Both teams to score 62% (Good)
157 predictions
Total 1.5 86% (Strong)
217 predictions
Total 2.5 36% (Weak)
151 predictions
Total 3.5 57% (Good)
212 predictions
Total 4.5 74% (Strong)
257 predictions

Match overview