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Brazil · Brasileirão · Serie A

25 Jul 2026 21:30 UTC

SANTOS FC vs CHAPECOENSE AF

Awaits result

Lineups confirmed Last goal: Santos FC

Match timeline

1st half

  1. ⚽ Neymar · assist Álvaro Barreal — Santos FC

Model prediction

Good
45%
1X2
Santos FC
Weak
48%
Both teams to score
No

Chance at least one team fails to score

Risky
28%
Total 1.5
Under

Chance of 1 or fewer goals

Weak
51%
Total 2.5
Under

Chance of 2 or fewer goals

Good
71%
Total 3.5
Under

Chance of 3 or fewer goals

Strong
86%
Total 4.5
Under

Chance of 4 or fewer goals

Good
15%
Score
1:0

Chance of this exact score

Model Context

Match prediction context

Probability in similar matches 50% (Average)

How often the predicted 1X2 outcome matched the final result in past matches in this league when the model’s predicted score line had the same home-minus-away goal difference (+1; home goals minus away goals).

Based on 145 past matches with this goal margin in this league.

Draw likelihood 25% (Typical)

Historical draw rate in this league. Low / Typical / High is relative to usual draw frequencies, not model accuracy.

Based on 429 finished matches in this league.

League

Historical model performance in this league before this match date.

Based on 509 completed matches.

1X2 45% (Average)
Both teams to score 48% (Average)
Total 1.5 58% (Good)
Total 2.5 53% (Average)
Total 3.5 64% (Good)
Total 4.5 84% (Strong)
Score 9% (Weak)

More stats

Teams

This shows how the model performed in matches with these teams.

Based on 66 past matches

1X2 45% (Average)
Both teams to score 52% (Average)
Total 1.5 73% (Strong)
Total 2.5 50% (Average)
Total 3.5 59% (Good)
Total 4.5 85% (Strong)
Score 15% (Good)

Markets

This shows how often each type of prediction was correct in this league.

1X2 45% (Average)
371 predictions
Both teams to score 47% (Average)
263 predictions
Total 1.5 26% (Weak)
164 predictions
Total 2.5 54% (Average)
312 predictions
Total 3.5 73% (Strong)
423 predictions
Total 4.5 88% (Strong)
481 predictions

Match preview