ALUMINIJ vs NK CELJE
Model Context
Match prediction context
Probability in similar matches
41% (Weak)
How often the predicted 1X2 outcome matched the final result in past matches in this league when the model’s predicted score line had the same home-minus-away goal difference (+1; home goals minus away goals).
Based on 54 past matches with this goal margin in this league.
Draw likelihood
18% (Typical)
Historical draw rate in this league. Low / Typical / High is relative to usual draw frequencies, not model accuracy.
Based on 166 finished matches in this league.
League
Historical model performance in this league before this match date.
Based on 207 completed matches.
1X2
42% (Weak)
Both teams to score
51% (Average)
Total 1.5
72% (Strong)
Total 2.5
54% (Average)
Total 3.5
57% (Good)
Total 4.5
72% (Strong)
Score
6% (Weak)
Teams
This shows how the model performed in matches with these teams.
Based on 73 past matches
1X2
36% (Weak)
Both teams to score
42% (Weak)
Total 1.5
74% (Strong)
Total 2.5
52% (Average)
Total 3.5
49% (Average)
Total 4.5
63% (Good)
Score
3% (Risky)
Markets
This shows how often each type of prediction was correct in this league.
1X2
42% (Weak)
157 predictions
Both teams to score
58% (Good)
132 predictions
Total 1.5
84% (Strong)
174 predictions
Total 2.5
62% (Good)
129 predictions
Total 3.5
34% (Weak)
64 predictions
Total 4.5
19% (Weak)
32 predictions