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South Korea · K League 2 · K-League 2

25 Jul 2026 10:30 UTC

DAEGU FC vs SUWON FC

Final 1:2

Suwon FC won Last goal: Daegu FC

Match timeline

1st half

  1. ⚽ Jin-Woo Jo — Suwon FC
  2. ⚽ Matheus Babi — Suwon FC

2nd half

  1. ⚽ Matheus Serafim (penalty) — Daegu FC

Model predictions were

Predictions are settled on the 90-minute result, including stoppage time but excluding extra time and penalties.

As expected
39%
1X2
Draw
90-minute result: Suwon FC
Nice call
54%
Both teams to score
Yes

Chance that both teams score

Result: Yes
Solid call
70%
Total 1.5
Over

Chance of 2 or more goals

Result: Over
Nice call
51%
Total 2.5
Over

Chance of 3 or more goals

Result: Over
No surprise
31%
Total 3.5
Over

Chance of 4 or more goals

Result: Under
On point
81%
Total 4.5
Under

Chance of 4 or fewer goals

Result: Under
As expected
6%
Score
2:2

Chance of this exact score

Result: 1:2

Model Context Was

Match prediction context

Probability in similar matches 38% (Weak)

How often the predicted 1X2 outcome matched the final result in past matches in this league when the model’s predicted score line had the same home-minus-away goal difference (0; home goals minus away goals).

Based on 108 past matches with this goal margin in this league.

Draw likelihood 31% (High)

Historical draw rate in this league. Low / Typical / High is relative to usual draw frequencies, not model accuracy.

Based on 334 finished matches in this league.

League

Historical model performance in this league before this match date.

Based on 379 completed matches.

1X2 38% (Weak)
Both teams to score 50% (Average)
Total 1.5 60% (Good)
Total 2.5 52% (Average)
Total 3.5 62% (Good)
Total 4.5 79% (Strong)
Score 10% (Weak)

More stats

Teams

This shows how the model performed in matches with these teams.

Based on 33 past matches

1X2 55% (Average)
Both teams to score 58% (Good)
Total 1.5 70% (Strong)
Total 2.5 52% (Average)
Total 3.5 48% (Average)
Total 4.5 64% (Good)
Score 6% (Weak)

Markets

This shows how often each type of prediction was correct in this league.

1X2 38% (Weak)
108 predictions
Both teams to score 53% (Average)
199 predictions
Total 1.5 70% (Strong)
280 predictions
Total 2.5 52% (Average)
184 predictions
Total 3.5 33% (Weak)
85 predictions
Total 4.5 86% (Strong)
346 predictions

Match overview