← Back to matches

South Korea · K League 2 · K-League 2

25 Jul 2026 10:30 UTC

BUSAN I'PARK vs SUWON SAMSUNG BLUEWINGS

Final 1:4

Suwon Samsung Bluewings won Last goal: Suwon Samsung Bluewings

Match timeline

1st half

  1. ⚽ Hye-Seong Park — Busan I'Park
  2. ⚽ Do-Yeon Kim — Suwon Samsung Bluewings

2nd half

  1. ⚽ Stanislav Iljutcenko — Suwon Samsung Bluewings
  2. ⚽ Hyeon-Bin Park — Suwon Samsung Bluewings
  3. ⚽ Hyun-Muk Kang — Suwon Samsung Bluewings

Model predictions were

Predictions are settled on the 90-minute result, including stoppage time but excluding extra time and penalties.

As expected
39%
1X2
Busan I'Park
90-minute result: Suwon Samsung Bluewings
As expected
48%
Both teams to score
No

Chance at least one team fails to score

Result: Yes
Solid call
70%
Total 1.5
Over

Chance of 2 or more goals

Result: Over
Nice call
51%
Total 2.5
Over

Chance of 3 or more goals

Result: Over
Off target
67%
Total 3.5
Under

Chance of 3 or fewer goals

Result: Over
Big miss
81%
Total 4.5
Under

Chance of 4 or fewer goals

Result: Over
As expected
7%
Score
3:0

Chance of this exact score

Result: 1:4

Model Context Was

Match prediction context

Probability in similar matches 37% (Weak)

How often the predicted 1X2 outcome matched the final result in past matches in this league when the model’s predicted score line had the same home-minus-away goal difference (+3; home goals minus away goals).

Based on 30 past matches with this goal margin in this league.

Draw likelihood 31% (High)

Historical draw rate in this league. Low / Typical / High is relative to usual draw frequencies, not model accuracy.

Based on 334 finished matches in this league.

League

Historical model performance in this league before this match date.

Based on 379 completed matches.

1X2 42% (Weak)
Both teams to score 50% (Average)
Total 1.5 60% (Good)
Total 2.5 52% (Average)
Total 3.5 62% (Good)
Total 4.5 79% (Strong)
Score 10% (Weak)

More stats

Teams

This shows how the model performed in matches with these teams.

Based on 97 past matches

1X2 40% (Weak)
Both teams to score 42% (Weak)
Total 1.5 55% (Average)
Total 2.5 48% (Average)
Total 3.5 55% (Average)
Total 4.5 72% (Strong)
Score 7% (Weak)

Markets

This shows how often each type of prediction was correct in this league.

1X2 42% (Weak)
271 predictions
Both teams to score 47% (Average)
180 predictions
Total 1.5 70% (Strong)
280 predictions
Total 2.5 52% (Average)
184 predictions
Total 3.5 70% (Strong)
294 predictions
Total 4.5 86% (Strong)
346 predictions

Match overview