← Back to matches

Ireland · First Division

24 Jul 2026 18:45 UTC

UCD vs CORK CITY

Final 5:2

UCD won Last goal: UCD

Match timeline

1st half

  1. ⚽ Hans Mpongo — Cork City
  2. ⚽ Killian Cailloce — UCD
  3. ⚽ Ruairi Keating — Cork City
  4. ⚽ Charles Akinrintayo — UCD

2nd half

  1. ⚽ Ciaran Behan — UCD
  2. ⚽ Louis Dignam — UCD
  3. ⚽ Mikey McCullagh — UCD

Model predictions were

Predictions are settled on the 90-minute result, including stoppage time but excluding extra time and penalties.

On point
51%
1X2
UCD
90-minute result: UCD
Nice call
54%
Both teams to score
Yes

Chance that both teams score

Result: Yes
On point
78%
Total 1.5
Over

Chance of 2 or more goals

Result: Over
Nice call
55%
Total 2.5
Over

Chance of 3 or more goals

Result: Over
Off target
67%
Total 3.5
Under

Chance of 3 or fewer goals

Result: Over
Big miss
86%
Total 4.5
Under

Chance of 4 or fewer goals

Result: Over
As expected
8%
Score
2:1

Chance of this exact score

Result: 5:2

Model Context Was

Match prediction context

Probability in similar matches 57% (Good)

How often the predicted 1X2 outcome matched the final result in past matches in this league when the model’s predicted score line had the same home-minus-away goal difference (+1; home goals minus away goals).

Based on 53 past matches with this goal margin in this league.

Draw likelihood 26% (Typical)

Historical draw rate in this league. Low / Typical / High is relative to usual draw frequencies, not model accuracy.

Based on 215 finished matches in this league.

League

Historical model performance in this league before this match date.

Based on 254 completed matches.

1X2 48% (Average)
Both teams to score 51% (Average)
Total 1.5 67% (Strong)
Total 2.5 53% (Average)
Total 3.5 59% (Good)
Total 4.5 79% (Strong)
Score 7% (Weak)

More stats

Teams

This shows how the model performed in matches with these teams.

Based on 71 past matches

1X2 46% (Average)
Both teams to score 49% (Average)
Total 1.5 68% (Strong)
Total 2.5 62% (Good)
Total 3.5 62% (Good)
Total 4.5 77% (Strong)
Score 8% (Weak)

Markets

This shows how often each type of prediction was correct in this league.

1X2 48% (Average)
194 predictions
Both teams to score 54% (Average)
136 predictions
Total 1.5 77% (Strong)
203 predictions
Total 2.5 55% (Average)
126 predictions
Total 3.5 68% (Strong)
190 predictions
Total 4.5 87% (Strong)
226 predictions

Match overview