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Ireland · First Division

24 Jul 2026 18:45 UTC

TREATY UNITED vs ATHLONE TOWN

Final 2:1

Treaty United won Last goal: Athlone Town

Match timeline

1st half

  1. ⚽ Cian Curtis — Treaty United

2nd half

  1. ⚽ Jason Oyenuga — Treaty United
  2. ⚽ James Crawford — Athlone Town

Model predictions were

Predictions are settled on the 90-minute result, including stoppage time but excluding extra time and penalties.

On point
51%
1X2
Treaty United
90-minute result: Treaty United
As expected
48%
Both teams to score
No

Chance at least one team fails to score

Result: Yes
No surprise
30%
Total 1.5
Under

Chance of 1 or fewer goals

Result: Over
As expected
51%
Total 2.5
Under

Chance of 2 or fewer goals

Result: Over
Solid call
67%
Total 3.5
Under

Chance of 3 or fewer goals

Result: Under
On point
86%
Total 4.5
Under

Chance of 4 or fewer goals

Result: Under
As expected
6%
Score
1:0

Chance of this exact score

Result: 2:1

Model Context Was

Match prediction context

Probability in similar matches 57% (Good)

How often the predicted 1X2 outcome matched the final result in past matches in this league when the model’s predicted score line had the same home-minus-away goal difference (+1; home goals minus away goals).

Based on 53 past matches with this goal margin in this league.

Draw likelihood 26% (Typical)

Historical draw rate in this league. Low / Typical / High is relative to usual draw frequencies, not model accuracy.

Based on 215 finished matches in this league.

League

Historical model performance in this league before this match date.

Based on 254 completed matches.

1X2 48% (Average)
Both teams to score 51% (Average)
Total 1.5 67% (Strong)
Total 2.5 53% (Average)
Total 3.5 59% (Good)
Total 4.5 79% (Strong)
Score 7% (Weak)

More stats

Teams

This shows how the model performed in matches with these teams.

Based on 98 past matches

1X2 47% (Average)
Both teams to score 51% (Average)
Total 1.5 60% (Good)
Total 2.5 47% (Average)
Total 3.5 56% (Good)
Total 4.5 80% (Strong)
Score 6% (Weak)

Markets

This shows how often each type of prediction was correct in this league.

1X2 48% (Average)
194 predictions
Both teams to score 47% (Average)
118 predictions
Total 1.5 29% (Weak)
51 predictions
Total 2.5 51% (Average)
128 predictions
Total 3.5 68% (Strong)
190 predictions
Total 4.5 87% (Strong)
226 predictions

Match overview