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Germany · Regionalliga · Regionalliga Bayern

24 Jul 2026 16:00 UTC

TSV SCHWABEN AUGSBURG vs TSV BUCHBACH

Final 1:1

Draw Last goal: TSV Buchbach

Match timeline

1st half

  1. 🟥 Jakob Krauss (straight red) — TSV Schwaben Augsburg
  2. ⚽ Mark Radoki — TSV Schwaben Augsburg

2nd half

  1. ⚽ Samed Bahar (penalty) — TSV Buchbach

Model predictions were

Predictions are settled on the 90-minute result, including stoppage time but excluding extra time and penalties.

Off target
45%
1X2
TSV Schwaben Augsburg
90-minute result: Draw
As expected
47%
Both teams to score
No

Chance at least one team fails to score

Result: Yes
On point
80%
Total 1.5
Over

Chance of 2 or more goals

Result: Over
As expected
56%
Total 2.5
Over

Chance of 3 or more goals

Result: Under
Nice call
58%
Total 3.5
Under

Chance of 3 or fewer goals

Result: Under
On point
77%
Total 4.5
Under

Chance of 4 or fewer goals

Result: Under
As expected
5%
Score
3:0

Chance of this exact score

Result: 1:1

Model Context Was

Match prediction context

Probability in similar matches 50% (Average)

How often the predicted 1X2 outcome matched the final result in past matches in this league when the model’s predicted score line had the same home-minus-away goal difference (+3; home goals minus away goals).

Based on 110 past matches with this goal margin in this league.

Draw likelihood 24% (Typical)

Historical draw rate in this league. Low / Typical / High is relative to usual draw frequencies, not model accuracy.

Based on 1,499 finished matches in this league.

League

Historical model performance in this league before this match date.

Based on 1800 completed matches.

1X2 42% (Weak)
Both teams to score 53% (Average)
Total 1.5 72% (Strong)
Total 2.5 55% (Average)
Total 3.5 54% (Average)
Total 4.5 68% (Strong)
Score 6% (Weak)

More stats

Teams

This shows how the model performed in matches with these teams.

Based on 78 past matches

1X2 38% (Weak)
Both teams to score 60% (Good)
Total 1.5 69% (Strong)
Total 2.5 59% (Good)
Total 3.5 53% (Average)
Total 4.5 63% (Good)
Score 5% (Weak)

Markets

This shows how often each type of prediction was correct in this league.

1X2 42% (Weak)
1353 predictions
Both teams to score 41% (Weak)
676 predictions
Total 1.5 83% (Strong)
1496 predictions
Total 2.5 63% (Good)
1079 predictions
Total 3.5 59% (Good)
1138 predictions
Total 4.5 77% (Strong)
1464 predictions

Match overview