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Iceland · 1. Deild

23 Jul 2026 19:15 UTC

LEIKNIR REYKJAVIK vs THROTTUR REYKJAVIK

Final 1:5

Throttur Reykjavik won Last goal: Throttur Reykjavik

Match timeline

1st half

  1. ⚽ Oern Bragi Hinriksson — Throttur Reykjavik
  2. ⚽ Aron Snaer Ingason — Throttur Reykjavik

2nd half

  1. ⚽ Kari Kristjansson — Throttur Reykjavik
  2. ⚽ Djordje Vladisavljevic (own goal) — Throttur Reykjavik
  3. ⚽ Aron Snaer Ingason — Throttur Reykjavik
  4. ⚽ Adam Arnarson — Leiknir Reykjavik

Model predictions were

Predictions are settled on the 90-minute result, including stoppage time but excluding extra time and penalties.

As expected
39%
1X2
Leiknir Reykjavik
90-minute result: Throttur Reykjavik
Solid call
62%
Both teams to score
Yes

Chance that both teams score

Result: Yes
On point
85%
Total 1.5
Over

Chance of 2 or more goals

Result: Over
Solid call
65%
Total 2.5
Over

Chance of 3 or more goals

Result: Over
As expected
58%
Total 3.5
Under

Chance of 3 or fewer goals

Result: Over
Off target
75%
Total 4.5
Under

Chance of 4 or fewer goals

Result: Over
Off target
13%
Score
2:1

Chance of this exact score

Result: 1:5

Model Context Was

Match prediction context

Probability in similar matches 41% (Weak)

How often the predicted 1X2 outcome matched the final result in past matches in this league when the model’s predicted score line had the same home-minus-away goal difference (+1; home goals minus away goals).

Based on 44 past matches with this goal margin in this league.

Draw likelihood 20% (Typical)

Historical draw rate in this league. Low / Typical / High is relative to usual draw frequencies, not model accuracy.

Based on 196 finished matches in this league.

League

Historical model performance in this league before this match date.

Based on 222 completed matches.

1X2 45% (Weak)
Both teams to score 50% (Average)
Total 1.5 74% (Strong)
Total 2.5 58% (Good)
Total 3.5 54% (Average)
Total 4.5 64% (Good)
Score 9% (Weak)

More stats

Teams

This shows how the model performed in matches with these teams.

Based on 71 past matches

1X2 42% (Weak)
Both teams to score 58% (Good)
Total 1.5 76% (Strong)
Total 2.5 56% (Good)
Total 3.5 52% (Average)
Total 4.5 72% (Strong)
Score 13% (Good)

Markets

This shows how often each type of prediction was correct in this league.

1X2 45% (Weak)
174 predictions
Both teams to score 63% (Good)
143 predictions
Total 1.5 86% (Strong)
186 predictions
Total 2.5 69% (Strong)
150 predictions
Total 3.5 58% (Good)
135 predictions
Total 4.5 72% (Strong)
178 predictions

Match overview