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Europe · Conference League Qualification

23 Jul 2026 18:45 UTC

SHELBOURNE vs NOMME JK KALJU

Final 5:2

Shelbourne won Last goal: Nomme JK Kalju

Match timeline

1st half

  1. ⚽ Rodrigo Freitas — Shelbourne
  2. ⚽ Sean Moore — Shelbourne
  3. ⚽ Ali Coote — Shelbourne
  4. ⚽ Enrique Esono — Nomme JK Kalju

2nd half

  1. ⚽ Sean Moore — Shelbourne
  2. ⚽ Daniel Ring — Shelbourne
  3. ⚽ Enrique Esono — Nomme JK Kalju

Model predictions were

Predictions are settled on the 90-minute result, including stoppage time but excluding extra time and penalties.

Off target
49%
1X2
Nomme JK Kalju
90-minute result: Shelbourne
Nice call
47%
Both teams to score
Yes

Chance that both teams score

Result: Yes
On point
88%
Total 1.5
Over

Chance of 2 or more goals

Result: Over
Nice call
58%
Total 2.5
Over

Chance of 3 or more goals

Result: Over
Nice call
58%
Total 3.5
Over

Chance of 4 or more goals

Result: Over
Nice call
58%
Total 4.5
Over

Chance of 5 or more goals

Result: Over
Big miss
25%
Score
3:4

Chance of this exact score

Result: 5:2

Model Context Was

Match prediction context

Probability in similar matches 38% (Weak)

How often the predicted 1X2 outcome matched the final result in past matches in this league when the model’s predicted score line had the same home-minus-away goal difference (-1; home goals minus away goals).

Based on 55 past matches with this goal margin in this league.

Draw likelihood 24% (Typical)

Historical draw rate in this league. Low / Typical / High is relative to usual draw frequencies, not model accuracy.

Based on 317 finished matches in this league.

League

Historical model performance in this league before this match date.

Based on 316 completed matches.

1X2 44% (Weak)
Both teams to score 51% (Average)
Total 1.5 68% (Strong)
Total 2.5 53% (Average)
Total 3.5 63% (Good)
Total 4.5 75% (Strong)
Score 6% (Weak)

More stats

Teams

This shows how the model performed in matches with these teams.

Based on 8 past matches

Small sample sizes may be less reliable.

1X2 50% (Average)
Both teams to score 50% (Average)
Total 1.5 63% (Good)
Total 2.5 63% (Good)
Total 3.5 63% (Good)
Total 4.5 88% (Strong)
Score 25% (Strong)

Markets

This shows how often each type of prediction was correct in this league.

1X2 44% (Weak)
247 predictions
Both teams to score 50% (Average)
176 predictions
Total 1.5 79% (Strong)
244 predictions
Total 2.5 56% (Good)
171 predictions
Total 3.5 36% (Weak)
76 predictions
Total 4.5 12% (Weak)
34 predictions

Match overview