← Back to matches

Europe · Conference League Qualification

23 Jul 2026 18:45 UTC

NSI RUNAVIK vs KOPER

Final 0:2

Koper won Last goal: Koper

Match timeline

1st half

  1. 🟥 Emil Joensen (straight red) — NSI Runavik

2nd half

  1. Brown Irabor — Koper
  2. Brown Irabor — Koper

Model predictions were

Predictions are settled on the 90-minute result, including stoppage time but excluding extra time and penalties.

Nice call
47%
Both teams to score
No

Chance at least one team fails to score

Result: No
Off target
64%
Total 1.5
Under

Chance of 1 or fewer goals

Result: Over
Solid call
64%
Total 2.5
Under

Chance of 2 or fewer goals

Result: Under
On point
78%
Total 3.5
Under

Chance of 3 or fewer goals

Result: Under
On point
81%
Total 4.5
Under

Chance of 4 or fewer goals

Result: Under
As expected
5%
Score
1:0

Chance of this exact score

Result: 0:2

Model Context Was

Match prediction context

Probability in similar matches 45% (Average)

How often the predicted 1X2 outcome matched the final result in past matches in this league when the model’s predicted score line had the same home-minus-away goal difference (+1; home goals minus away goals).

Based on 91 past matches with this goal margin in this league.

Draw likelihood 24% (Typical)

Historical draw rate in this league. Low / Typical / High is relative to usual draw frequencies, not model accuracy.

Based on 317 finished matches in this league.

League

Historical model performance in this league before this match date.

Based on 316 completed matches.

1X2 44% (Weak)
Both teams to score 51% (Average)
Total 1.5 68% (Strong)
Total 2.5 53% (Average)
Total 3.5 63% (Good)
Total 4.5 75% (Strong)
Score 6% (Weak)

More stats

Teams

This shows how the model performed in matches with these teams.

Based on 8 past matches

Small sample sizes may be less reliable.

1X2 25% (Weak)
Both teams to score 25% (Weak)
Total 1.5 75% (Strong)
Total 2.5 63% (Good)
Total 3.5 63% (Good)
Total 4.5 75% (Strong)
Score 0% (Risky)

Markets

This shows how often each type of prediction was correct in this league.

1X2 44% (Weak)
247 predictions
Both teams to score 51% (Average)
140 predictions
Total 1.5 33% (Weak)
72 predictions
Total 2.5 50% (Average)
145 predictions
Total 3.5 71% (Strong)
240 predictions
Total 4.5 83% (Strong)
282 predictions

Match overview