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International · Club Friendlies

22 Jul 2026 16:30 UTC

AZ ALKMAAR vs GENK

Final 4:0

AZ Alkmaar won Last goal: AZ Alkmaar

Match timeline

1st half

  1. ⚽ Patati — AZ Alkmaar
  2. ⚽ Patati — AZ Alkmaar

2nd half

  1. ⚽ Troy Parrott — AZ Alkmaar
  2. ⚽ Kovacs — AZ Alkmaar

Model predictions were

Predictions are settled on the 90-minute result, including stoppage time but excluding extra time and penalties.

Off target
40%
1X2
Draw
90-minute result: AZ Alkmaar
As expected
57%
Both teams to score
Yes

Chance that both teams score

Result: No
On point
80%
Total 1.5
Over

Chance of 2 or more goals

Result: Over
Nice call
56%
Total 2.5
Over

Chance of 3 or more goals

Result: Over
Lucky hit
35%
Total 3.5
Over

Chance of 4 or more goals

Result: Over
No surprise
25%
Total 4.5
Over

Chance of 5 or more goals

Result: Under
Big miss
43%
Score
3:3

Chance of this exact score

Result: 4:0

Model Context Was

Match prediction context

Probability in similar matches 30% (Weak)

How often the predicted 1X2 outcome matched the final result in past matches in this league when the model’s predicted score line had the same home-minus-away goal difference (0; home goals minus away goals).

Based on 187 past matches with this goal margin in this league.

Draw likelihood 22% (Typical)

Historical draw rate in this league. Low / Typical / High is relative to usual draw frequencies, not model accuracy.

Based on 851 finished matches in this league.

League

Historical model performance in this league before this match date.

Based on 797 completed matches.

1X2 30% (Weak)
Both teams to score 50% (Average)
Total 1.5 73% (Strong)
Total 2.5 54% (Average)
Total 3.5 54% (Average)
Total 4.5 70% (Strong)
Score 8% (Weak)

More stats

Teams

This shows how the model performed in matches with these teams.

Based on 7 past matches

Small sample sizes may be less reliable.

1X2 71% (Strong)
Both teams to score 71% (Strong)
Total 1.5 100% (Strong)
Total 2.5 71% (Strong)
Total 3.5 43% (Weak)
Total 4.5 71% (Strong)
Score 43% (Strong)

Markets

This shows how often each type of prediction was correct in this league.

1X2 30% (Weak)
187 predictions
Both teams to score 56% (Good)
488 predictions
Total 1.5 83% (Strong)
667 predictions
Total 2.5 63% (Good)
462 predictions
Total 3.5 41% (Weak)
230 predictions
Total 4.5 24% (Weak)
102 predictions

Match overview