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International · Club Friendlies

22 Jul 2026 15:30 UTC

WERDER BREMEN vs FAGIANO OKAYAMA FC

Final 2:0

Werder Bremen won Last goal: Werder Bremen

Match timeline

1st half

  1. ⚽ Chuki — Werder Bremen

2nd half

  1. ⚽ Mats Heitmann — Werder Bremen

Model predictions were

Predictions are settled on the 90-minute result, including stoppage time but excluding extra time and penalties.

Big miss
51%
1X2
Fagiano Okayama FC
90-minute result: Werder Bremen
As expected
54%
Both teams to score
Yes

Chance that both teams score

Result: No
On point
80%
Total 1.5
Over

Chance of 2 or more goals

Result: Over
As expected
56%
Total 2.5
Over

Chance of 3 or more goals

Result: Under
No surprise
35%
Total 3.5
Over

Chance of 4 or more goals

Result: Under
On point
77%
Total 4.5
Under

Chance of 4 or fewer goals

Result: Under
As expected
5%
Score
1:3

Chance of this exact score

Result: 2:0

Model Context Was

Match prediction context

Probability in similar matches 54% (Average)

How often the predicted 1X2 outcome matched the final result in past matches in this league when the model’s predicted score line had the same home-minus-away goal difference (-2; home goals minus away goals).

Based on 89 past matches with this goal margin in this league.

Draw likelihood 22% (Typical)

Historical draw rate in this league. Low / Typical / High is relative to usual draw frequencies, not model accuracy.

Based on 851 finished matches in this league.

League

Historical model performance in this league before this match date.

Based on 797 completed matches.

1X2 51% (Average)
Both teams to score 50% (Average)
Total 1.5 73% (Strong)
Total 2.5 54% (Average)
Total 3.5 54% (Average)
Total 4.5 70% (Strong)
Score 8% (Weak)

More stats

Teams

This shows how the model performed in matches with these teams.

Based on 11 past matches

Small sample sizes may be less reliable.

1X2 73% (Strong)
Both teams to score 27% (Weak)
Total 1.5 64% (Good)
Total 2.5 73% (Strong)
Total 3.5 64% (Good)
Total 4.5 55% (Average)
Score 0% (Risky)

Markets

This shows how often each type of prediction was correct in this league.

1X2 51% (Average)
610 predictions
Both teams to score 56% (Good)
488 predictions
Total 1.5 83% (Strong)
667 predictions
Total 2.5 63% (Good)
462 predictions
Total 3.5 41% (Weak)
230 predictions
Total 4.5 77% (Strong)
695 predictions

Match overview