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Europe · Champions League Qualification

21 Jul 2026 18:00 UTC

FENERBAHCE vs GORNIK ZABRZE

Final 1:0 Almanac Moment

Fenerbahce won Last goal: Fenerbahce

Match timeline

1st half

  1. ⚽ Talisca — Fenerbahce

Model predictions were

Predictions are settled on the 90-minute result, including stoppage time but excluding extra time and penalties.

Solid call
43%
1X2
Fenerbahce
90-minute result: Fenerbahce
Nice call
47%
Both teams to score
No

Chance at least one team fails to score

Result: No
Solid call
64%
Total 1.5
Under

Chance of 1 or fewer goals

Result: Under
Solid call
64%
Total 2.5
Under

Chance of 2 or fewer goals

Result: Under
Solid call
64%
Total 3.5
Under

Chance of 3 or fewer goals

Result: Under
On point
81%
Total 4.5
Under

Chance of 4 or fewer goals

Result: Under
Nice call
5%
Score
1:0

Chance of this exact score

Result: 1:0

Model Context Was

Match prediction context

Probability in similar matches 66% (Strong)

How often the predicted 1X2 outcome matched the final result in past matches in this league when the model’s predicted score line had the same home-minus-away goal difference (+1; home goals minus away goals).

Based on 35 past matches with this goal margin in this league.

Draw likelihood 22% (Typical)

Historical draw rate in this league. Low / Typical / High is relative to usual draw frequencies, not model accuracy.

Based on 120 finished matches in this league.

League

Historical model performance in this league before this match date.

Based on 119 completed matches.

1X2 55% (Average)
Both teams to score 50% (Average)
Total 1.5 56% (Good)
Total 2.5 50% (Average)
Total 3.5 64% (Good)
Total 4.5 78% (Strong)
Score 8% (Weak)

More stats

Teams

This shows how the model performed in matches with these teams.

Based on 4 past matches

Small sample sizes may be less reliable.

1X2 50% (Average)
Both teams to score 50% (Average)
Total 1.5 25% (Weak)
Total 2.5 50% (Average)
Total 3.5 75% (Strong)
Total 4.5 75% (Strong)
Score 0% (Risky)

Markets

This shows how often each type of prediction was correct in this league.

1X2 55% (Average)
88 predictions
Both teams to score 54% (Average)
54 predictions
Total 1.5 18% (Weak)
28 predictions
Total 2.5 54% (Average)
63 predictions
Total 3.5 70% (Strong)
101 predictions
Total 4.5 83% (Strong)
110 predictions

Match overview