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Estonia · Meistriliiga

19 Jul 2026 16:00 UTC

HARJU JALGPALLIKOOL vs PAIDE LINNAMEESKOND

Final 5:2

Harju Jalgpallikool won Last goal: Paide Linnameeskond

Match timeline

1st half

  1. ⚽ Kaspar Laur — Harju Jalgpallikool
  2. ⚽ Kristjan Kriis (penalty) — Harju Jalgpallikool
  3. ⚽ Karel Eerme — Harju Jalgpallikool
  4. ⚽ Henri Anier — Paide Linnameeskond
  5. ⚽ Ramol Sillamaa — Harju Jalgpallikool
  6. ⚽ Abdul Wahid Binate — Harju Jalgpallikool

2nd half

  1. ⚽ Henri Anier (penalty) — Paide Linnameeskond

Model predictions were

Predictions are settled on the 90-minute result, including stoppage time but excluding extra time and penalties.

On point
51%
1X2
Harju Jalgpallikool
90-minute result: Harju Jalgpallikool
Nice call
57%
Both teams to score
Yes

Chance that both teams score

Result: Yes
On point
78%
Total 1.5
Over

Chance of 2 or more goals

Result: Over
Nice call
56%
Total 2.5
Over

Chance of 3 or more goals

Result: Over
Off target
65%
Total 3.5
Under

Chance of 3 or fewer goals

Result: Over
Big miss
81%
Total 4.5
Under

Chance of 4 or fewer goals

Result: Over
As expected
6%
Score
2:1

Chance of this exact score

Result: 5:2

Model Context Was

Match prediction context

Probability in similar matches 62% (Good)

How often the predicted 1X2 outcome matched the final result in past matches in this league when the model’s predicted score line had the same home-minus-away goal difference (+1; home goals minus away goals).

Based on 58 past matches with this goal margin in this league.

Draw likelihood 14% (Low)

Historical draw rate in this league. Low / Typical / High is relative to usual draw frequencies, not model accuracy.

Based on 200 finished matches in this league.

League

Historical model performance in this league before this match date.

Based on 254 completed matches.

1X2 58% (Good)
Both teams to score 52% (Average)
Total 1.5 67% (Strong)
Total 2.5 49% (Average)
Total 3.5 56% (Good)
Total 4.5 74% (Strong)
Score 7% (Weak)

More stats

Teams

This shows how the model performed in matches with these teams.

Based on 95 past matches

1X2 39% (Weak)
Both teams to score 53% (Average)
Total 1.5 67% (Strong)
Total 2.5 49% (Average)
Total 3.5 59% (Good)
Total 4.5 75% (Strong)
Score 6% (Weak)

Markets

This shows how often each type of prediction was correct in this league.

1X2 58% (Good)
188 predictions
Both teams to score 57% (Good)
147 predictions
Total 1.5 81% (Strong)
196 predictions
Total 2.5 64% (Good)
135 predictions
Total 3.5 64% (Good)
175 predictions
Total 4.5 83% (Strong)
220 predictions

Match overview