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Serbia · Super Liga

18 Jul 2026 18:00 UTC

NOVI PAZAR vs FK RADNICKI 1923

Final 1:0

Novi Pazar won Last goal: Novi Pazar

Match timeline

1st half

  1. Ivan Davidovic — Novi Pazar

Model predictions were

Predictions are settled on the 90-minute result, including stoppage time but excluding extra time and penalties.

As expected
54%
Both teams to score
Yes

Chance that both teams score

Result: No
Off target
74%
Total 1.5
Over

Chance of 2 or more goals

Result: Under
As expected
48%
Total 2.5
Over

Chance of 3 or more goals

Result: Under
Solid call
67%
Total 3.5
Under

Chance of 3 or fewer goals

Result: Under
On point
81%
Total 4.5
Under

Chance of 4 or fewer goals

Result: Under
As expected
5%
Score
1:2

Chance of this exact score

Result: 1:0

Model Context Was

Match prediction context

Probability in similar matches 44% (Weak)

How often the predicted 1X2 outcome matched the final result in past matches in this league when the model’s predicted score line had the same home-minus-away goal difference (-1; home goals minus away goals).

Based on 64 past matches with this goal margin in this league.

Draw likelihood 29% (Typical)

Historical draw rate in this league. Low / Typical / High is relative to usual draw frequencies, not model accuracy.

Based on 292 finished matches in this league.

League

Historical model performance in this league before this match date.

Based on 350 completed matches.

1X2 45% (Average)
Both teams to score 51% (Average)
Total 1.5 58% (Good)
Total 2.5 48% (Average)
Total 3.5 63% (Good)
Total 4.5 77% (Strong)
Score 7% (Weak)

More stats

Teams

This shows how the model performed in matches with these teams.

Based on 83 past matches

1X2 33% (Weak)
Both teams to score 52% (Average)
Total 1.5 61% (Good)
Total 2.5 54% (Average)
Total 3.5 64% (Good)
Total 4.5 77% (Strong)
Score 4% (Risky)

Markets

This shows how often each type of prediction was correct in this league.

1X2 45% (Average)
263 predictions
Both teams to score 55% (Average)
172 predictions
Total 1.5 71% (Strong)
257 predictions
Total 2.5 49% (Average)
151 predictions
Total 3.5 70% (Strong)
275 predictions
Total 4.5 83% (Strong)
317 predictions

Match overview