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Serbia · Super Liga

17 Jul 2026 18:00 UTC

FK CRVENA ZVEZDA vs MACVA SABAC

Final 5:0

FK Crvena Zvezda won Last goal: FK Crvena Zvezda

Match timeline

1st half

  1. ⚽ Bruno Duarte — FK Crvena Zvezda
  2. ⚽ Rade Krunic — FK Crvena Zvezda
  3. ⚽ Issa Kone (own goal) — FK Crvena Zvezda

2nd half

  1. ⚽ Vasilije Kostov — FK Crvena Zvezda
  2. ⚽ Vasilije Kostov — FK Crvena Zvezda

Model predictions were

Predictions are settled on the 90-minute result, including stoppage time but excluding extra time and penalties.

As expected
37%
1X2
Draw
90-minute result: FK Crvena Zvezda
As expected
54%
Both teams to score
Yes

Chance that both teams score

Result: No
Solid call
74%
Total 1.5
Over

Chance of 2 or more goals

Result: Over
As expected
48%
Total 2.5
Under

Chance of 2 or fewer goals

Result: Over
Off target
67%
Total 3.5
Under

Chance of 3 or fewer goals

Result: Over
Big miss
81%
Total 4.5
Under

Chance of 4 or fewer goals

Result: Over
As expected
5%
Score
1:1

Chance of this exact score

Result: 5:0

Model Context Was

Match prediction context

Probability in similar matches 30% (Weak)

How often the predicted 1X2 outcome matched the final result in past matches in this league when the model’s predicted score line had the same home-minus-away goal difference (0; home goals minus away goals).

Based on 86 past matches with this goal margin in this league.

Draw likelihood 30% (Typical)

Historical draw rate in this league. Low / Typical / High is relative to usual draw frequencies, not model accuracy.

Based on 290 finished matches in this league.

League

Historical model performance in this league before this match date.

Based on 348 completed matches.

1X2 30% (Weak)
Both teams to score 51% (Average)
Total 1.5 58% (Good)
Total 2.5 48% (Average)
Total 3.5 63% (Good)
Total 4.5 77% (Strong)
Score 7% (Weak)

More stats

Teams

This shows how the model performed in matches with these teams.

Based on 42 past matches

1X2 52% (Average)
Both teams to score 57% (Good)
Total 1.5 74% (Strong)
Total 2.5 52% (Average)
Total 3.5 55% (Average)
Total 4.5 67% (Strong)
Score 5% (Risky)

Markets

This shows how often each type of prediction was correct in this league.

1X2 30% (Weak)
86 predictions
Both teams to score 55% (Average)
171 predictions
Total 1.5 71% (Strong)
256 predictions
Total 2.5 48% (Average)
197 predictions
Total 3.5 70% (Strong)
273 predictions
Total 4.5 83% (Strong)
315 predictions

Match overview