← Back to matches

Norway · Eliteserien

18 Jul 2026 14:00 UTC

START vs ROSENBORG

Final 0:3

Rosenborg won Last goal: Rosenborg

Match timeline

1st half

  1. ⚽ Amin Chiakha (penalty) — Rosenborg

2nd half

  1. ⚽ Simen Bolkan Nordli — Rosenborg
  2. ⚽ Amin Chiakha — Rosenborg

Model predictions were

Predictions are settled on the 90-minute result, including stoppage time but excluding extra time and penalties.

As expected
37%
1X2
Draw
90-minute result: Rosenborg
As expected
54%
Both teams to score
Yes

Chance that both teams score

Result: No
On point
80%
Total 1.5
Over

Chance of 2 or more goals

Result: Over
Nice call
55%
Total 2.5
Over

Chance of 3 or more goals

Result: Over
No surprise
35%
Total 3.5
Over

Chance of 4 or more goals

Result: Under
On point
77%
Total 4.5
Under

Chance of 4 or fewer goals

Result: Under
As expected
10%
Score
2:2

Chance of this exact score

Result: 0:3

Model Context Was

Match prediction context

Probability in similar matches 20% (Weak)

How often the predicted 1X2 outcome matched the final result in past matches in this league when the model’s predicted score line had the same home-minus-away goal difference (0; home goals minus away goals).

Based on 75 past matches with this goal margin in this league.

Draw likelihood 20% (Typical)

Historical draw rate in this league. Low / Typical / High is relative to usual draw frequencies, not model accuracy.

Based on 262 finished matches in this league.

League

Historical model performance in this league before this match date.

Based on 312 completed matches.

1X2 20% (Weak)
Both teams to score 51% (Average)
Total 1.5 69% (Strong)
Total 2.5 52% (Average)
Total 3.5 53% (Average)
Total 4.5 69% (Strong)
Score 6% (Weak)

More stats

Teams

This shows how the model performed in matches with these teams.

Based on 52 past matches

1X2 44% (Weak)
Both teams to score 48% (Average)
Total 1.5 71% (Strong)
Total 2.5 46% (Average)
Total 3.5 58% (Good)
Total 4.5 69% (Strong)
Score 10% (Weak)

Markets

This shows how often each type of prediction was correct in this league.

1X2 20% (Weak)
75 predictions
Both teams to score 55% (Average)
184 predictions
Total 1.5 81% (Strong)
253 predictions
Total 2.5 59% (Good)
184 predictions
Total 3.5 39% (Weak)
118 predictions
Total 4.5 79% (Strong)
249 predictions

Match overview