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Norway · Eliteserien

18 Jul 2026 12:00 UTC

HAMARKAMERATENE vs TROMSOE

Final 1:4 Almanac Moment

Tromsoe won Last goal: Tromsoe

Match timeline

1st half

  1. Heine Aasen Larsen — Tromsoe

2nd half

  1. Jens Hjertoe-Dahl — Tromsoe
  2. Ruben Yttergård Jenssen — Tromsoe
  3. Mame Alassane Niang — Hamarkameratene
  4. Ieltsin Camoes — Tromsoe

Model predictions were

Predictions are settled on the 90-minute result, including stoppage time but excluding extra time and penalties.

Nice call
54%
Both teams to score
Yes

Chance that both teams score

Result: Yes
On point
80%
Total 1.5
Over

Chance of 2 or more goals

Result: Over
Nice call
55%
Total 2.5
Over

Chance of 3 or more goals

Result: Over
Lucky hit
35%
Total 3.5
Over

Chance of 4 or more goals

Result: Over
Lucky hit
25%
Total 4.5
Over

Chance of 5 or more goals

Result: Over
Nice call
5%
Score
1:4

Chance of this exact score

Result: 1:4

Model Context Was

Match prediction context

Probability in similar matches 44% (Weak)

How often the predicted 1X2 outcome matched the final result in past matches in this league when the model’s predicted score line had the same home-minus-away goal difference (-3; home goals minus away goals).

Based on 9 past matches with this goal margin in this league.

Draw likelihood 20% (Typical)

Historical draw rate in this league. Low / Typical / High is relative to usual draw frequencies, not model accuracy.

Based on 262 finished matches in this league.

League

Historical model performance in this league before this match date.

Based on 312 completed matches.

1X2 49% (Average)
Both teams to score 51% (Average)
Total 1.5 69% (Strong)
Total 2.5 52% (Average)
Total 3.5 53% (Average)
Total 4.5 69% (Strong)
Score 6% (Weak)

More stats

Teams

This shows how the model performed in matches with these teams.

Based on 78 past matches

1X2 37% (Weak)
Both teams to score 42% (Weak)
Total 1.5 62% (Good)
Total 2.5 47% (Average)
Total 3.5 56% (Good)
Total 4.5 79% (Strong)
Score 5% (Weak)

Markets

This shows how often each type of prediction was correct in this league.

1X2 49% (Average)
237 predictions
Both teams to score 55% (Average)
184 predictions
Total 1.5 81% (Strong)
253 predictions
Total 2.5 59% (Good)
184 predictions
Total 3.5 39% (Weak)
118 predictions
Total 4.5 27% (Weak)
63 predictions

Match overview