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China · China League

18 Jul 2026 11:30 UTC

NANJING CITY FC vs GUANGDONG GZ-POWER

Final 0:1

Guangdong GZ-Power won Last goal: Guangdong GZ-Power

Match timeline

1st half

  1. ⚽ Joao Carlos — Guangdong GZ-Power

Model predictions were

Predictions are settled on the 90-minute result, including stoppage time but excluding extra time and penalties.

Off target
40%
1X2
Draw
90-minute result: Guangdong GZ-Power
As expected
54%
Both teams to score
Yes

Chance that both teams score

Result: No
Big miss
78%
Total 1.5
Over

Chance of 2 or more goals

Result: Under
Nice call
51%
Total 2.5
Under

Chance of 2 or fewer goals

Result: Under
Solid call
71%
Total 3.5
Under

Chance of 3 or fewer goals

Result: Under
On point
86%
Total 4.5
Under

Chance of 4 or fewer goals

Result: Under
As expected
9%
Score
1:1

Chance of this exact score

Result: 0:1

Model Context Was

Match prediction context

Probability in similar matches 28% (Weak)

How often the predicted 1X2 outcome matched the final result in past matches in this league when the model’s predicted score line had the same home-minus-away goal difference (0; home goals minus away goals).

Based on 104 past matches with this goal margin in this league.

Draw likelihood 27% (Typical)

Historical draw rate in this league. Low / Typical / High is relative to usual draw frequencies, not model accuracy.

Based on 275 finished matches in this league.

League

Historical model performance in this league before this match date.

Based on 329 completed matches.

1X2 27% (Weak)
Both teams to score 50% (Average)
Total 1.5 64% (Good)
Total 2.5 51% (Average)
Total 3.5 63% (Good)
Total 4.5 84% (Strong)
Score 9% (Weak)

More stats

Teams

This shows how the model performed in matches with these teams.

Based on 81 past matches

1X2 44% (Weak)
Both teams to score 51% (Average)
Total 1.5 70% (Strong)
Total 2.5 48% (Average)
Total 3.5 54% (Average)
Total 4.5 79% (Strong)
Score 9% (Weak)

Markets

This shows how often each type of prediction was correct in this league.

1X2 27% (Weak)
104 predictions
Both teams to score 52% (Average)
176 predictions
Total 1.5 76% (Strong)
237 predictions
Total 2.5 53% (Average)
191 predictions
Total 3.5 72% (Strong)
267 predictions
Total 4.5 89% (Strong)
308 predictions

Match overview