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China · China League

18 Jul 2026 11:30 UTC

GUANGXI HENGCHEN vs SHAANXI UNION

Final 3:0

Guangxi Hengchen won Last goal: Guangxi Hengchen

Match timeline

2nd half

  1. Tianle Ji — Guangxi Hengchen
  2. Noel Mbo — Guangxi Hengchen
  3. Loïc Lapoussin — Guangxi Hengchen

Model predictions were

Predictions are settled on the 90-minute result, including stoppage time but excluding extra time and penalties.

Nice call
48%
Both teams to score
No

Chance at least one team fails to score

Result: No
No surprise
30%
Total 1.5
Under

Chance of 1 or fewer goals

Result: Over
As expected
51%
Total 2.5
Under

Chance of 2 or fewer goals

Result: Over
Solid call
71%
Total 3.5
Under

Chance of 3 or fewer goals

Result: Under
On point
86%
Total 4.5
Under

Chance of 4 or fewer goals

Result: Under
Off target
15%
Score
1:0

Chance of this exact score

Result: 3:0

Model Context Was

Match prediction context

Probability in similar matches 49% (Average)

How often the predicted 1X2 outcome matched the final result in past matches in this league when the model’s predicted score line had the same home-minus-away goal difference (+1; home goals minus away goals).

Based on 80 past matches with this goal margin in this league.

Draw likelihood 27% (Typical)

Historical draw rate in this league. Low / Typical / High is relative to usual draw frequencies, not model accuracy.

Based on 275 finished matches in this league.

League

Historical model performance in this league before this match date.

Based on 329 completed matches.

1X2 44% (Weak)
Both teams to score 50% (Average)
Total 1.5 64% (Good)
Total 2.5 51% (Average)
Total 3.5 63% (Good)
Total 4.5 84% (Strong)
Score 9% (Weak)

More stats

Teams

This shows how the model performed in matches with these teams.

Based on 53 past matches

1X2 40% (Weak)
Both teams to score 58% (Good)
Total 1.5 72% (Strong)
Total 2.5 58% (Good)
Total 3.5 68% (Strong)
Total 4.5 81% (Strong)
Score 15% (Good)

Markets

This shows how often each type of prediction was correct in this league.

1X2 44% (Weak)
225 predictions
Both teams to score 46% (Average)
153 predictions
Total 1.5 33% (Weak)
92 predictions
Total 2.5 53% (Average)
191 predictions
Total 3.5 72% (Strong)
267 predictions
Total 4.5 89% (Strong)
308 predictions

Match overview