← Back to matches

Ireland · FAI Cup

17 Jul 2026 18:45 UTC

ST. PATRICK'S ATHLETIC vs WEXFORD FC

Final 2:1

St. Patrick's Athletic won Last goal: St. Patrick's Athletic

Match timeline

1st half

  1. ⚽ Jason McClelland — St. Patrick's Athletic

2nd half

  1. ⚽ Jake Doyle — Wexford FC
  2. ⚽ Aidan Keena — St. Patrick's Athletic

Model predictions were

Predictions are settled on the 90-minute result, including stoppage time but excluding extra time and penalties.

On point
51%
1X2
St. Patrick's Athletic
90-minute result: St. Patrick's Athletic
As expected
57%
Both teams to score
No

Chance at least one team fails to score

Result: Yes
No surprise
32%
Total 1.5
Under

Chance of 1 or fewer goals

Result: Over
No surprise
45%
Total 2.5
Under

Chance of 2 or fewer goals

Result: Over
Nice call
54%
Total 3.5
Under

Chance of 3 or fewer goals

Result: Under
On point
77%
Total 4.5
Under

Chance of 4 or fewer goals

Result: Under
As expected
5%
Score
1:0

Chance of this exact score

Result: 2:1

Model Context Was

Match prediction context

Probability in similar matches 64% (Good)

How often the predicted 1X2 outcome matched the final result in past matches in this league when the model’s predicted score line had the same home-minus-away goal difference (+1; home goals minus away goals).

Based on 14 past matches with this goal margin in this league.

Draw likelihood 16% (Low)

Historical draw rate in this league. Low / Typical / High is relative to usual draw frequencies, not model accuracy.

Based on 49 finished matches in this league.

League

Historical model performance in this league before this match date.

Based on 55 completed matches.

1X2 55% (Average)
Both teams to score 51% (Average)
Total 1.5 73% (Strong)
Total 2.5 55% (Average)
Total 3.5 45% (Average)
Total 4.5 71% (Strong)
Score 4% (Risky)

More stats

Teams

This shows how the model performed in matches with these teams.

Based on 5 past matches

Small sample sizes may be less reliable.

1X2 40% (Weak)
Both teams to score 40% (Weak)
Total 1.5 60% (Good)
Total 2.5 40% (Weak)
Total 3.5 40% (Weak)
Total 4.5 60% (Good)
Score 0% (Risky)

Markets

This shows how often each type of prediction was correct in this league.

1X2 55% (Average)
42 predictions
Both teams to score 58% (Good)
26 predictions
Total 1.5 15% (Weak)
13 predictions
Total 2.5 41% (Weak)
27 predictions
Total 3.5 53% (Average)
43 predictions
Total 4.5 76% (Strong)
50 predictions

Match overview