← Back to matches

Brazil · Serie B

17 Jul 2026 22:00 UTC

SAO BERNARDO vs AVAI FC

Final 1:1

Draw Last goal: Avai FC

Match timeline

1st half

  1. ⚽ Jemerson — Sao Bernardo

2nd half

  1. ⚽ Daniel Penha — Avai FC

Model predictions were

Predictions are settled on the 90-minute result, including stoppage time but excluding extra time and penalties.

Nice call
37%
1X2
Draw
90-minute result: Draw
As expected
54%
Both teams to score
No

Chance at least one team fails to score

Result: Yes
No surprise
30%
Total 1.5
Under

Chance of 1 or fewer goals

Result: Over
Nice call
56%
Total 2.5
Under

Chance of 2 or fewer goals

Result: Under
On point
76%
Total 3.5
Under

Chance of 3 or fewer goals

Result: Under
On point
89%
Total 4.5
Under

Chance of 4 or fewer goals

Result: Under
Off target
12%
Score
0:0

Chance of this exact score

Result: 1:1

Model Context Was

Match prediction context

Probability in similar matches 32% (Weak)

How often the predicted 1X2 outcome matched the final result in past matches in this league when the model’s predicted score line had the same home-minus-away goal difference (0; home goals minus away goals).

Based on 188 past matches with this goal margin in this league.

Draw likelihood 30% (Typical)

Historical draw rate in this league. Low / Typical / High is relative to usual draw frequencies, not model accuracy.

Based on 426 finished matches in this league.

League

Historical model performance in this league before this match date.

Based on 506 completed matches.

1X2 32% (Weak)
Both teams to score 50% (Average)
Total 1.5 51% (Average)
Total 2.5 56% (Good)
Total 3.5 77% (Strong)
Total 4.5 92% (Strong)
Score 12% (Good)

More stats

Teams

This shows how the model performed in matches with these teams.

Based on 65 past matches

1X2 37% (Weak)
Both teams to score 42% (Weak)
Total 1.5 51% (Average)
Total 2.5 54% (Average)
Total 3.5 77% (Strong)
Total 4.5 91% (Strong)
Score 12% (Good)

Markets

This shows how often each type of prediction was correct in this league.

1X2 32% (Weak)
191 predictions
Both teams to score 52% (Average)
281 predictions
Total 1.5 32% (Weak)
202 predictions
Total 2.5 61% (Good)
379 predictions
Total 3.5 83% (Strong)
463 predictions
Total 4.5 95% (Strong)
495 predictions

Match overview