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Brazil · Serie B

16 Jul 2026 23:00 UTC

CRB vs NAUTICO

Final 2:1

CRB won Last goal: CRB

Match timeline

1st half

  1. ⚽ Mikael (penalty) — CRB

2nd half

  1. ⚽ Kauan Maranhao — Nautico
  2. ⚽ Crystopher — CRB

Model predictions were

Predictions are settled on the 90-minute result, including stoppage time but excluding extra time and penalties.

Off target
45%
1X2
Draw
90-minute result: CRB
As expected
54%
Both teams to score
No

Chance at least one team fails to score

Result: Yes
No surprise
30%
Total 1.5
Under

Chance of 1 or fewer goals

Result: Over
As expected
56%
Total 2.5
Under

Chance of 2 or fewer goals

Result: Over
On point
76%
Total 3.5
Under

Chance of 3 or fewer goals

Result: Under
On point
89%
Total 4.5
Under

Chance of 4 or fewer goals

Result: Under
As expected
6%
Score
0:0

Chance of this exact score

Result: 2:1

Model Context Was

Match prediction context

Probability in similar matches 33% (Weak)

How often the predicted 1X2 outcome matched the final result in past matches in this league when the model’s predicted score line had the same home-minus-away goal difference (0; home goals minus away goals).

Based on 187 past matches with this goal margin in this league.

Draw likelihood 30% (Typical)

Historical draw rate in this league. Low / Typical / High is relative to usual draw frequencies, not model accuracy.

Based on 425 finished matches in this league.

League

Historical model performance in this league before this match date.

Based on 505 completed matches.

1X2 43% (Weak)
Both teams to score 50% (Average)
Total 1.5 51% (Average)
Total 2.5 56% (Good)
Total 3.5 77% (Strong)
Total 4.5 92% (Strong)
Score 12% (Good)

More stats

Teams

This shows how the model performed in matches with these teams.

Based on 64 past matches

1X2 36% (Weak)
Both teams to score 48% (Average)
Total 1.5 45% (Average)
Total 2.5 58% (Good)
Total 3.5 69% (Strong)
Total 4.5 81% (Strong)
Score 6% (Weak)

Markets

This shows how often each type of prediction was correct in this league.

1X2 43% (Weak)
315 predictions
Both teams to score 52% (Average)
280 predictions
Total 1.5 32% (Weak)
201 predictions
Total 2.5 62% (Good)
378 predictions
Total 3.5 83% (Strong)
462 predictions
Total 4.5 95% (Strong)
494 predictions

Match overview