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South Korea · Cup

15 Jul 2026 10:00 UTC

SEONGNAM FC vs POCHEON CITIZEN FC

Final 2:1

Seongnam FC advanced Last goal: Seongnam FC

Match timeline

1st half

  1. ⚽ — — Pocheon Citizen FC

2nd half

  1. ⚽ Rodrigo Angelotti — Seongnam FC

Extra time

  1. ⚽ — (penalty) — Seongnam FC

Model predictions were

Predictions are settled on the 90-minute result, including stoppage time but excluding extra time and penalties.

Big miss
51%
1X2
Pocheon Citizen FC
90-minute result: Draw
Advanced: Seongnam FC
Solid call
61%
Both teams to score
Yes

Chance that both teams score

Result: Yes
On point
78%
Total 1.5
Over

Chance of 2 or more goals

Result: Over
As expected
48%
Total 2.5
Over

Chance of 3 or more goals

Result: Under
As expected
48%
Total 3.5
Over

Chance of 4 or more goals

Result: Under
On point
89%
Total 4.5
Under

Chance of 4 or fewer goals

Result: Under
As expected
5%
Score
1:3

Chance of this exact score

Result: 1:1 (90 min)

Model Context Was

Match prediction context

Probability in similar matches 60% (Good)

How often the predicted 1X2 outcome matched the final result in past matches in this league when the model’s predicted score line had the same home-minus-away goal difference (-2; home goals minus away goals).

Based on 5 past matches with this goal margin in this league.

Draw likelihood 22% (Typical)

Historical draw rate in this league. Low / Typical / High is relative to usual draw frequencies, not model accuracy.

Based on 9 finished matches in this league.

League

Historical model performance in this league before this match date.

Based on 29 completed matches.

1X2 61% (Good)
Both teams to score 62% (Good)
Total 1.5 62% (Good)
Total 2.5 48% (Average)
Total 3.5 66% (Strong)
Total 4.5 90% (Strong)
Score 10% (Weak)

More stats

Teams

This shows how the model performed in matches with these teams.

1X2 0% (Weak)
Both teams to score 0% (Weak)
Total 1.5 0% (Weak)
Total 2.5 0% (Weak)
Total 3.5 0% (Weak)
Total 4.5 0% (Weak)
Score 0% (Risky)

Markets

This shows how often each type of prediction was correct in this league.

1X2 61% (Good)
23 predictions
Both teams to score 75% (Strong)
12 predictions
Total 1.5 81% (Strong)
21 predictions
Total 2.5 63% (Good)
8 predictions
Total 3.5 86% (Strong)
22 predictions
Total 4.5 96% (Strong)
27 predictions

Match overview