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South Korea · Cup

15 Jul 2026 10:00 UTC

HWASEONG FC vs YANGPYEONG

Final 4:3

Hwaseong FC won Last goal: Hwaseong FC

Match timeline

1st half

  1. ⚽ — — Yangpyeong

2nd half

  1. ⚽ — — Yangpyeong
  2. ⚽ Beom-Hwan Kim — Hwaseong FC
  3. ⚽ — — Yangpyeong
  4. ⚽ Si-Hoo Yang — Hwaseong FC
  5. ⚽ Sava Petrov (penalty) — Hwaseong FC
  6. ⚽ — — Hwaseong FC

Model predictions were

Predictions are settled on the 90-minute result, including stoppage time but excluding extra time and penalties.

On point
51%
1X2
Hwaseong FC
90-minute result: Hwaseong FC
Solid call
66%
Both teams to score
Yes

Chance that both teams score

Result: Yes
On point
78%
Total 1.5
Over

Chance of 2 or more goals

Result: Over
Nice call
51%
Total 2.5
Over

Chance of 3 or more goals

Result: Over
Big miss
76%
Total 3.5
Under

Chance of 3 or fewer goals

Result: Over
Big miss
92%
Total 4.5
Under

Chance of 4 or fewer goals

Result: Over
As expected
5%
Score
2:1

Chance of this exact score

Result: 4:3

Model Context Was

Match prediction context

Probability in similar matches 50% (Average)

How often the predicted 1X2 outcome matched the final result in past matches in this league when the model’s predicted score line had the same home-minus-away goal difference (+1; home goals minus away goals).

Based on 4 past matches with this goal margin in this league.

Draw likelihood 22% (Typical)

Historical draw rate in this league. Low / Typical / High is relative to usual draw frequencies, not model accuracy.

Based on 9 finished matches in this league.

League

Historical model performance in this league before this match date.

Based on 29 completed matches.

1X2 61% (Good)
Both teams to score 62% (Good)
Total 1.5 62% (Good)
Total 2.5 48% (Average)
Total 3.5 66% (Strong)
Total 4.5 90% (Strong)
Score 10% (Weak)

More stats

Teams

This shows how the model performed in matches with these teams.

Based on 1 past matches

Small sample sizes may be less reliable.

1X2 0% (Weak)
Both teams to score 100% (Strong)
Total 1.5 0% (Weak)
Total 2.5 100% (Strong)
Total 3.5 100% (Strong)
Total 4.5 100% (Strong)
Score 0% (Risky)

Markets

This shows how often each type of prediction was correct in this league.

1X2 61% (Good)
23 predictions
Both teams to score 75% (Strong)
12 predictions
Total 1.5 81% (Strong)
21 predictions
Total 2.5 63% (Good)
8 predictions
Total 3.5 86% (Strong)
22 predictions
Total 4.5 96% (Strong)
27 predictions

Match overview