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Norway · Eliteserien

12 Jul 2026 17:15 UTC

SARPSBORG 08 vs VIKING

Final 1:0

Sarpsborg 08 won Last goal: Sarpsborg 08

Match timeline

1st half

  1. ⚽ Daniel Seland Karlsbakk — Sarpsborg 08

Model predictions were

Predictions are settled on the 90-minute result, including stoppage time but excluding extra time and penalties.

As expected
37%
1X2
Viking
90-minute result: Sarpsborg 08
As expected
54%
Both teams to score
Yes

Chance that both teams score

Result: No
Big miss
80%
Total 1.5
Over

Chance of 2 or more goals

Result: Under
As expected
55%
Total 2.5
Over

Chance of 3 or more goals

Result: Under
No surprise
35%
Total 3.5
Over

Chance of 4 or more goals

Result: Under
On point
77%
Total 4.5
Under

Chance of 4 or fewer goals

Result: Under
As expected
5%
Score
1:3

Chance of this exact score

Result: 1:0

Model Context Was

Match prediction context

Probability in similar matches 21% (Weak)

How often the predicted 1X2 outcome matched the final result in past matches in this league when the model’s predicted score line had the same home-minus-away goal difference (-2; home goals minus away goals).

Based on 28 past matches with this goal margin in this league.

Draw likelihood 20% (Typical)

Historical draw rate in this league. Low / Typical / High is relative to usual draw frequencies, not model accuracy.

Based on 255 finished matches in this league.

League

Historical model performance in this league before this match date.

Based on 305 completed matches.

1X2 50% (Average)
Both teams to score 50% (Average)
Total 1.5 69% (Strong)
Total 2.5 51% (Average)
Total 3.5 53% (Average)
Total 4.5 68% (Strong)
Score 6% (Weak)

More stats

Teams

This shows how the model performed in matches with these teams.

Based on 71 past matches

1X2 35% (Weak)
Both teams to score 51% (Average)
Total 1.5 69% (Strong)
Total 2.5 48% (Average)
Total 3.5 45% (Average)
Total 4.5 69% (Strong)
Score 3% (Risky)

Markets

This shows how often each type of prediction was correct in this league.

1X2 50% (Average)
230 predictions
Both teams to score 55% (Good)
178 predictions
Total 1.5 81% (Strong)
246 predictions
Total 2.5 59% (Good)
177 predictions
Total 3.5 40% (Weak)
114 predictions
Total 4.5 79% (Strong)
242 predictions

Match overview