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Norway · Eliteserien

11 Jul 2026 16:00 UTC

TROMSOE vs VAALERENGA

Final 4:0

Tromsoe won Last goal: Tromsoe

Match timeline

1st half

  1. ⚽ Heine Aasen Larsen — Tromsoe
  2. ⚽ Jens Hjertoe-Dahl — Tromsoe
  3. ⚽ Heine Aasen Larsen — Tromsoe

2nd half

  1. ⚽ Troy Nyhammer — Tromsoe

Model predictions were

Predictions are settled on the 90-minute result, including stoppage time but excluding extra time and penalties.

Off target
45%
1X2
Vaalerenga
90-minute result: Tromsoe
As expected
54%
Both teams to score
Yes

Chance that both teams score

Result: No
On point
80%
Total 1.5
Over

Chance of 2 or more goals

Result: Over
Nice call
55%
Total 2.5
Over

Chance of 3 or more goals

Result: Over
Lucky hit
35%
Total 3.5
Over

Chance of 4 or more goals

Result: Over
No surprise
25%
Total 4.5
Over

Chance of 5 or more goals

Result: Under
As expected
8%
Score
2:3

Chance of this exact score

Result: 4:0

Model Context Was

Match prediction context

Probability in similar matches 45% (Weak)

How often the predicted 1X2 outcome matched the final result in past matches in this league when the model’s predicted score line had the same home-minus-away goal difference (-1; home goals minus away goals).

Based on 47 past matches with this goal margin in this league.

Draw likelihood 20% (Typical)

Historical draw rate in this league. Low / Typical / High is relative to usual draw frequencies, not model accuracy.

Based on 252 finished matches in this league.

League

Historical model performance in this league before this match date.

Based on 302 completed matches.

1X2 50% (Average)
Both teams to score 51% (Average)
Total 1.5 68% (Strong)
Total 2.5 51% (Average)
Total 3.5 53% (Average)
Total 4.5 68% (Strong)
Score 6% (Weak)

More stats

Teams

This shows how the model performed in matches with these teams.

Based on 77 past matches

1X2 43% (Weak)
Both teams to score 45% (Average)
Total 1.5 65% (Good)
Total 2.5 47% (Average)
Total 3.5 49% (Average)
Total 4.5 68% (Strong)
Score 8% (Weak)

Markets

This shows how often each type of prediction was correct in this league.

1X2 50% (Average)
229 predictions
Both teams to score 55% (Good)
175 predictions
Total 1.5 81% (Strong)
243 predictions
Total 2.5 59% (Good)
176 predictions
Total 3.5 40% (Weak)
113 predictions
Total 4.5 27% (Weak)
62 predictions

Match overview