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Sweden · Allsvenskan

12 Jul 2026 12:00 UTC

MALMOE FF vs IFK GOETEBORG

Final 4:0

Malmoe FF won Last goal: Malmoe FF

Match timeline

1st half

  1. ⚽ Andrej Djuric — Malmoe FF
  2. ⚽ Erik Botheim — Malmoe FF
  3. ⚽ Erik Botheim — Malmoe FF

2nd half

  1. ⚽ Anton Hoeoeg — Malmoe FF

Model predictions were

Predictions are settled on the 90-minute result, including stoppage time but excluding extra time and penalties.

Nice call
39%
1X2
Malmoe FF
90-minute result: Malmoe FF
Nice call
54%
Both teams to score
No

Chance at least one team fails to score

Result: No
No surprise
18%
Total 1.5
Under

Chance of 1 or fewer goals

Result: Over
As expected
51%
Total 2.5
Under

Chance of 2 or fewer goals

Result: Over
Off target
71%
Total 3.5
Under

Chance of 3 or fewer goals

Result: Over
On point
81%
Total 4.5
Under

Chance of 4 or fewer goals

Result: Under
As expected
5%
Score
1:0

Chance of this exact score

Result: 4:0

Model Context Was

Match prediction context

Probability in similar matches 38% (Weak)

How often the predicted 1X2 outcome matched the final result in past matches in this league when the model’s predicted score line had the same home-minus-away goal difference (+1; home goals minus away goals).

Based on 58 past matches with this goal margin in this league.

Draw likelihood 24% (Typical)

Historical draw rate in this league. Low / Typical / High is relative to usual draw frequencies, not model accuracy.

Based on 234 finished matches in this league.

League

Historical model performance in this league before this match date.

Based on 315 completed matches.

1X2 46% (Average)
Both teams to score 56% (Good)
Total 1.5 68% (Strong)
Total 2.5 54% (Average)
Total 3.5 61% (Good)
Total 4.5 78% (Strong)
Score 6% (Weak)

More stats

Teams

This shows how the model performed in matches with these teams.

Based on 78 past matches

1X2 44% (Weak)
Both teams to score 54% (Average)
Total 1.5 65% (Strong)
Total 2.5 53% (Average)
Total 3.5 64% (Good)
Total 4.5 81% (Strong)
Score 5% (Weak)

Markets

This shows how often each type of prediction was correct in this league.

1X2 46% (Average)
228 predictions
Both teams to score 50% (Average)
129 predictions
Total 1.5 19% (Weak)
63 predictions
Total 2.5 51% (Average)
140 predictions
Total 3.5 72% (Strong)
223 predictions
Total 4.5 85% (Strong)
272 predictions

Match overview