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Chile · Cup · Cup Grp. B

11 Jul 2026 21:30 UTC

DEPORTES COPIAPO vs EVERTON CD

Final 0:1

Everton CD won Last goal: Everton CD

Match timeline

2nd half

  1. ⚽ Hugo Magallanes — Everton CD
  2. 🟥 Salvador Sanchez (2nd yellow) — Deportes Copiapo

Model predictions were

Predictions are settled on the 90-minute result, including stoppage time but excluding extra time and penalties.

Nice call
39%
1X2
Everton CD
90-minute result: Everton CD
Off target
62%
Both teams to score
Yes

Chance that both teams score

Result: No
Big miss
80%
Total 1.5
Over

Chance of 2 or more goals

Result: Under
As expected
55%
Total 2.5
Over

Chance of 3 or more goals

Result: Under
No surprise
35%
Total 3.5
Over

Chance of 4 or more goals

Result: Under
On point
77%
Total 4.5
Under

Chance of 4 or fewer goals

Result: Under
Off target
14%
Score
1:3

Chance of this exact score

Result: 0:1

Model Context Was

Match prediction context

Probability in similar matches 50% (Average)

How often the predicted 1X2 outcome matched the final result in past matches in this league when the model’s predicted score line had the same home-minus-away goal difference (-2; home goals minus away goals).

Based on 8 past matches with this goal margin in this league.

Draw likelihood 23% (Typical)

Historical draw rate in this league. Low / Typical / High is relative to usual draw frequencies, not model accuracy.

Based on 94 finished matches in this league.

League

Historical model performance in this league before this match date.

Based on 92 completed matches.

1X2 39% (Weak)
Both teams to score 54% (Average)
Total 1.5 70% (Strong)
Total 2.5 47% (Average)
Total 3.5 60% (Good)
Total 4.5 73% (Strong)
Score 7% (Weak)

More stats

Teams

This shows how the model performed in matches with these teams.

Based on 7 past matches

Small sample sizes may be less reliable.

1X2 71% (Strong)
Both teams to score 86% (Strong)
Total 1.5 86% (Strong)
Total 2.5 57% (Good)
Total 3.5 71% (Strong)
Total 4.5 86% (Strong)
Score 14% (Good)

Markets

This shows how often each type of prediction was correct in this league.

1X2 39% (Weak)
67 predictions
Both teams to score 66% (Strong)
56 predictions
Total 1.5 83% (Strong)
76 predictions
Total 2.5 59% (Good)
44 predictions
Total 3.5 40% (Weak)
25 predictions
Total 4.5 79% (Strong)
81 predictions

Match overview