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Morocco · Botola Pro

05 Jul 2026 17:00 UTC

FUS RABAT vs UNION YACOUB EL-MANSOUR

Final 0:1

Union Yacoub El-Mansour won Last goal: FUS Rabat

Match timeline

1st half

  1. ⚽ Mehdi Balouk (penalty) — Union Yacoub El-Mansour

2nd half

  1. 🟥 Oussama Raoui (2nd yellow) — FUS Rabat
  2. 🟥 Abdessamad Mahir (straight red) — FUS Rabat

Model predictions were

Predictions are settled on the 90-minute result, including stoppage time but excluding extra time and penalties.

Solid call
40%
1X2
Union Yacoub El-Mansour
90-minute result: Union Yacoub El-Mansour
As expected
54%
Both teams to score
Yes

Chance that both teams score

Result: No
Off target
70%
Total 1.5
Over

Chance of 2 or more goals

Result: Under
No surprise
45%
Total 2.5
Over

Chance of 3 or more goals

Result: Under
On point
83%
Total 3.5
Under

Chance of 3 or fewer goals

Result: Under
On point
89%
Total 4.5
Under

Chance of 4 or fewer goals

Result: Under
As expected
9%
Score
1:2

Chance of this exact score

Result: 0:1

Model Context Was

Match prediction context

Probability in similar matches 29% (Weak)

How often the predicted 1X2 outcome matched the final result in past matches in this league when the model’s predicted score line had the same home-minus-away goal difference (-1; home goals minus away goals).

Based on 38 past matches with this goal margin in this league.

Draw likelihood 36% (High)

Historical draw rate in this league. Low / Typical / High is relative to usual draw frequencies, not model accuracy.

Based on 214 finished matches in this league.

League

Historical model performance in this league before this match date.

Based on 248 completed matches.

1X2 39% (Weak)
Both teams to score 54% (Average)
Total 1.5 53% (Average)
Total 2.5 54% (Average)
Total 3.5 78% (Strong)
Total 4.5 91% (Strong)
Score 10% (Weak)

More stats

Teams

This shows how the model performed in matches with these teams.

Based on 56 past matches

1X2 30% (Weak)
Both teams to score 50% (Average)
Total 1.5 55% (Good)
Total 2.5 54% (Average)
Total 3.5 84% (Strong)
Total 4.5 89% (Strong)
Score 9% (Weak)

Markets

This shows how often each type of prediction was correct in this league.

1X2 39% (Weak)
162 predictions
Both teams to score 55% (Average)
95 predictions
Total 1.5 70% (Strong)
144 predictions
Total 2.5 40% (Weak)
77 predictions
Total 3.5 88% (Strong)
212 predictions
Total 4.5 95% (Strong)
239 predictions

Match overview