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Morocco · Botola Pro

05 Jul 2026 17:00 UTC

WYDAD CASABLANCA vs UNION TOUARGA SPORT

Final 1:2

Union Touarga Sport won Last goal: Union Touarga Sport

Match timeline

1st half

  1. ⚽ Saad Lotfi — Union Touarga Sport

2nd half

  1. ⚽ Wissam Ben Yedder — Wydad Casablanca
  2. ⚽ Hamza Regragui — Union Touarga Sport
  3. 🟥 Hamza Regragui (2nd yellow) — Union Touarga Sport

Model predictions were

Predictions are settled on the 90-minute result, including stoppage time but excluding extra time and penalties.

As expected
37%
1X2
Draw
90-minute result: Union Touarga Sport
Nice call
54%
Both teams to score
Yes

Chance that both teams score

Result: Yes
Solid call
70%
Total 1.5
Over

Chance of 2 or more goals

Result: Over
Lucky hit
45%
Total 2.5
Over

Chance of 3 or more goals

Result: Over
No surprise
28%
Total 3.5
Over

Chance of 4 or more goals

Result: Under
On point
89%
Total 4.5
Under

Chance of 4 or fewer goals

Result: Under
Off target
15%
Score
2:2

Chance of this exact score

Result: 1:2

Model Context Was

Match prediction context

Probability in similar matches 34% (Weak)

How often the predicted 1X2 outcome matched the final result in past matches in this league when the model’s predicted score line had the same home-minus-away goal difference (0; home goals minus away goals).

Based on 83 past matches with this goal margin in this league.

Draw likelihood 36% (High)

Historical draw rate in this league. Low / Typical / High is relative to usual draw frequencies, not model accuracy.

Based on 214 finished matches in this league.

League

Historical model performance in this league before this match date.

Based on 248 completed matches.

1X2 34% (Weak)
Both teams to score 54% (Average)
Total 1.5 53% (Average)
Total 2.5 54% (Average)
Total 3.5 78% (Strong)
Total 4.5 91% (Strong)
Score 10% (Weak)

More stats

Teams

This shows how the model performed in matches with these teams.

Based on 62 past matches

1X2 39% (Weak)
Both teams to score 53% (Average)
Total 1.5 48% (Average)
Total 2.5 56% (Good)
Total 3.5 84% (Strong)
Total 4.5 95% (Strong)
Score 15% (Good)

Markets

This shows how often each type of prediction was correct in this league.

1X2 34% (Weak)
86 predictions
Both teams to score 55% (Average)
95 predictions
Total 1.5 70% (Strong)
144 predictions
Total 2.5 40% (Weak)
77 predictions
Total 3.5 22% (Weak)
36 predictions
Total 4.5 95% (Strong)
239 predictions

Match overview