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Kazakhstan · Premier League

04 Jul 2026 12:00 UTC

ALTAI SEMEY vs TOBOL KOSTANAY

Final 1:0

Altai Semey won Last goal: Altai Semey

Match timeline

2nd half

  1. ⚽ Elguja Lobjanidze — Altai Semey

Model predictions were

Predictions are settled on the 90-minute result, including stoppage time but excluding extra time and penalties.

Solid call
45%
1X2
Altai Semey
90-minute result: Altai Semey
As expected
54%
Both teams to score
Yes

Chance that both teams score

Result: No
Off target
70%
Total 1.5
Over

Chance of 2 or more goals

Result: Under
As expected
48%
Total 2.5
Over

Chance of 3 or more goals

Result: Under
Solid call
71%
Total 3.5
Under

Chance of 3 or fewer goals

Result: Under
On point
86%
Total 4.5
Under

Chance of 4 or fewer goals

Result: Under
As expected
10%
Score
2:1

Chance of this exact score

Result: 1:0

Model Context Was

Match prediction context

Probability in similar matches 54% (Average)

How often the predicted 1X2 outcome matched the final result in past matches in this league when the model’s predicted score line had the same home-minus-away goal difference (+1; home goals minus away goals).

Based on 81 past matches with this goal margin in this league.

Draw likelihood 33% (High)

Historical draw rate in this league. Low / Typical / High is relative to usual draw frequencies, not model accuracy.

Based on 224 finished matches in this league.

League

Historical model performance in this league before this match date.

Based on 280 completed matches.

1X2 45% (Weak)
Both teams to score 51% (Average)
Total 1.5 58% (Good)
Total 2.5 50% (Average)
Total 3.5 68% (Strong)
Total 4.5 81% (Strong)
Score 9% (Weak)

More stats

Teams

This shows how the model performed in matches with these teams.

Based on 52 past matches

1X2 38% (Weak)
Both teams to score 50% (Average)
Total 1.5 60% (Good)
Total 2.5 50% (Average)
Total 3.5 62% (Good)
Total 4.5 79% (Strong)
Score 10% (Weak)

Markets

This shows how often each type of prediction was correct in this league.

1X2 45% (Weak)
204 predictions
Both teams to score 54% (Average)
149 predictions
Total 1.5 70% (Strong)
194 predictions
Total 2.5 46% (Average)
112 predictions
Total 3.5 76% (Strong)
234 predictions
Total 4.5 88% (Strong)
254 predictions

Match overview