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Kazakhstan · Premier League

02 Jul 2026 14:00 UTC

KAIRAT ALMATY vs OKZHETPES KOKSHETAU

Final 5:0

Kairat Almaty won Last goal: Kairat Almaty

Match timeline

1st half

  1. ⚽ Marc Gual — Kairat Almaty
  2. ⚽ Marc Gual — Kairat Almaty
  3. ⚽ Jorginho — Kairat Almaty

2nd half

  1. ⚽ Edmilson Filho — Kairat Almaty
  2. ⚽ Azamat Tuyakbayev — Kairat Almaty

Model predictions were

Predictions are settled on the 90-minute result, including stoppage time but excluding extra time and penalties.

As expected
39%
1X2
Draw
90-minute result: Kairat Almaty
As expected
54%
Both teams to score
Yes

Chance that both teams score

Result: No
Solid call
70%
Total 1.5
Over

Chance of 2 or more goals

Result: Over
As expected
51%
Total 2.5
Under

Chance of 2 or fewer goals

Result: Over
Off target
71%
Total 3.5
Under

Chance of 3 or fewer goals

Result: Over
Big miss
86%
Total 4.5
Under

Chance of 4 or fewer goals

Result: Over
As expected
11%
Score
1:1

Chance of this exact score

Result: 5:0

Model Context Was

Match prediction context

Probability in similar matches 38% (Weak)

How often the predicted 1X2 outcome matched the final result in past matches in this league when the model’s predicted score line had the same home-minus-away goal difference (0; home goals minus away goals).

Based on 74 past matches with this goal margin in this league.

Draw likelihood 33% (High)

Historical draw rate in this league. Low / Typical / High is relative to usual draw frequencies, not model accuracy.

Based on 222 finished matches in this league.

League

Historical model performance in this league before this match date.

Based on 278 completed matches.

1X2 38% (Weak)
Both teams to score 52% (Average)
Total 1.5 58% (Good)
Total 2.5 50% (Average)
Total 3.5 68% (Strong)
Total 4.5 81% (Strong)
Score 9% (Weak)

More stats

Teams

This shows how the model performed in matches with these teams.

Based on 73 past matches

1X2 44% (Weak)
Both teams to score 55% (Average)
Total 1.5 60% (Good)
Total 2.5 47% (Average)
Total 3.5 63% (Good)
Total 4.5 79% (Strong)
Score 11% (Weak)

Markets

This shows how often each type of prediction was correct in this league.

1X2 38% (Weak)
74 predictions
Both teams to score 55% (Good)
147 predictions
Total 1.5 70% (Strong)
192 predictions
Total 2.5 52% (Average)
166 predictions
Total 3.5 76% (Strong)
232 predictions
Total 4.5 88% (Strong)
252 predictions

Match overview