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China · Super League

04 Jul 2026 11:00 UTC

LIAONING TIEREN vs CHONGQING TONGLIANG LONG

Final 3:1

Liaoning Tieren won Last goal: Liaoning Tieren

Match timeline

1st half

  1. ⚽ Yuwang Xiang — Chongqing Tongliang Long
  2. 🟥 Michael Ngadeu (straight red) — Chongqing Tongliang Long

2nd half

  1. ⚽ Ange Samuel Kouame — Liaoning Tieren
  2. ⚽ Jeffinho — Liaoning Tieren
  3. ⚽ Jeffinho — Liaoning Tieren

Model predictions were

Predictions are settled on the 90-minute result, including stoppage time but excluding extra time and penalties.

As expected
39%
1X2
Chongqing Tongliang Long
90-minute result: Liaoning Tieren
Solid call
62%
Both teams to score
Yes

Chance that both teams score

Result: Yes
On point
78%
Total 1.5
Over

Chance of 2 or more goals

Result: Over
Nice call
55%
Total 2.5
Over

Chance of 3 or more goals

Result: Over
Off target
65%
Total 3.5
Under

Chance of 3 or fewer goals

Result: Over
On point
77%
Total 4.5
Under

Chance of 4 or fewer goals

Result: Under
As expected
5%
Score
1:2

Chance of this exact score

Result: 3:1

Model Context Was

Match prediction context

Probability in similar matches 36% (Weak)

How often the predicted 1X2 outcome matched the final result in past matches in this league when the model’s predicted score line had the same home-minus-away goal difference (-1; home goals minus away goals).

Based on 50 past matches with this goal margin in this league.

Draw likelihood 26% (Typical)

Historical draw rate in this league. Low / Typical / High is relative to usual draw frequencies, not model accuracy.

Based on 273 finished matches in this league.

League

Historical model performance in this league before this match date.

Based on 330 completed matches.

1X2 48% (Average)
Both teams to score 52% (Average)
Total 1.5 67% (Strong)
Total 2.5 48% (Average)
Total 3.5 58% (Good)
Total 4.5 71% (Strong)
Score 7% (Weak)

More stats

Teams

This shows how the model performed in matches with these teams.

Based on 31 past matches

1X2 42% (Weak)
Both teams to score 42% (Weak)
Total 1.5 52% (Average)
Total 2.5 45% (Average)
Total 3.5 55% (Average)
Total 4.5 84% (Strong)
Score 0% (Risky)

Markets

This shows how often each type of prediction was correct in this league.

1X2 48% (Average)
251 predictions
Both teams to score 63% (Good)
190 predictions
Total 1.5 80% (Strong)
264 predictions
Total 2.5 60% (Good)
166 predictions
Total 3.5 61% (Good)
238 predictions
Total 4.5 79% (Strong)
282 predictions

Match overview